Recent polls following the September 8 candidate list deadline show Israel's October 27 Knesset election remaining fragmented under proportional representation, where parties must exceed the 3.25% threshold for seats in the 120-member parliament. Neither the pro-Netanyahu bloc (anchored by Likud alongside Otzma Yehudit, Religious Zionism–Zehut, Shas, and UTJ) nor the opposition bloc (led by Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar, Naftali Bennett and Yair Lapid’s B’Yachad, the Democrats, and Yisrael Beytenu) consistently reaches the 61 seats needed for a majority, with Arab lists (Joint List and Ra’am) holding the balance in many surveys. Smaller parties such as Ofer Winter’s Amcha Yisrael and the Hendel–Zelekha alliance hover near or below the threshold, creating volatility in bloc totals. Coalition negotiations after the vote will determine the government amid ongoing security and economic pressures.