Richard Neal secured the Democratic nomination for Massachusetts' 1st Congressional District after defeating progressive challenger Jeromie Whalen in the September 1 primary by a 55-45 margin. As the longtime incumbent with nearly four decades in Congress and high seniority on the Ways and Means Committee, Neal benefits from substantial fundraising, name recognition, and the district's solid Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+8 partisan voting index and consistent Safe or Solid Democratic ratings from forecasters. Weak Republican opposition and limited independent support further reinforce trader consensus around his general election prospects on November 3. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unforeseen national shift could theoretically alter the outcome, though historical patterns and the district's composition make such changes improbable.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoVincitore delle elezioni della Camera MA-01
Vincitore delle elezioni della Camera MA-01
$51,904 Vol.
$51,904 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Richard Neal (D)
95%
Partito Repubblicano
5%
$51,904 Vol.
$51,904 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Richard Neal (D)
$8,594 Vol.
95%
Partito Repubblicano
$43,310 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Richard Neal secured the Democratic nomination for Massachusetts' 1st Congressional District after defeating progressive challenger Jeromie Whalen in the September 1 primary by a 55-45 margin. As the longtime incumbent with nearly four decades in Congress and high seniority on the Ways and Means Committee, Neal benefits from substantial fundraising, name recognition, and the district's solid Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+8 partisan voting index and consistent Safe or Solid Democratic ratings from forecasters. Weak Republican opposition and limited independent support further reinforce trader consensus around his general election prospects on November 3. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unforeseen national shift could theoretically alter the outcome, though historical patterns and the district's composition make such changes improbable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$51,904Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Richard Neal secured the Democratic nomination for Massachusetts' 1st Congressional District after defeating progressive challenger Jeromie Whalen in the September 1 primary by a 55-45 margin. As the longtime incumbent with nearly four decades in Congress and high seniority on the Ways and Means Committee, Neal benefits from substantial fundraising, name recognition, and the district's solid Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+8 partisan voting index and consistent Safe or Solid Democratic ratings from forecasters. Weak Republican opposition and limited independent support further reinforce trader consensus around his general election prospects on November 3. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unforeseen national shift could theoretically alter the outcome, though historical patterns and the district's composition make such changes improbable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$51,904Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...Richard Neal secured the Democratic nomination for Massachusetts' 1st Congressional District after defeating progressive challenger Jeromie Whalen in the September 1 primary by a 55-45 margin. As the longtime incumbent with nearly four decades in Congress and high seniority on the Ways and Means Committee, Neal benefits from substantial fundraising, name recognition, and the district's solid Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+8 partisan voting index and consistent Safe or Solid Democratic ratings from forecasters. Weak Republican opposition and limited independent support further reinforce trader consensus around his general election prospects on November 3. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unforeseen national shift could theoretically alter the outcome, though historical patterns and the district's composition make such changes improbable.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti