Official forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources for Shenzhen on September 15, 2026, consistently project a daily maximum near 30–31°C under partly cloudy to overcast skies with light southerly winds and high humidity near 80%. This aligns with the market’s near-certain 30°C outcome, reflecting convergence between model runs, real-time observations showing afternoon peaks around 30–31°C, and typical late-summer subtropical conditions where cloud cover and moisture limit extreme heating. Historical September averages for the region hover near 30–32°C, providing climatological support. A rapid shift to clear skies or revised official measurements exceeding the threshold could still alter resolution, though current data and timing make such outcomes improbable.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Shenzhen il 15 settembre?
La temperatura più alta a Shenzhen il 15 settembre?
30°C 100.0%
26°C o inferiore <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$54,490 Vol.
$54,490 Vol.
15 set 2026
26°C o inferiore
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
Sì
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C o superiore
No
30°C 100.0%
26°C o inferiore <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$54,490 Vol.
$54,490 Vol.
15 set 2026
26°C o inferiore
$238 Vol.
No
27°C
$408 Vol.
No
28°C
$11,322 Vol.
No
29°C
$9,545 Vol.
No
30°C
$11,403 Vol.
Sì
31°C
$5,869 Vol.
No
32°C
$8,054 Vol.
No
33°C
$4,045 Vol.
No
34°C
$2,795 Vol.
No
35°C
$595 Vol.
No
36°C o superiore
$214 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources for Shenzhen on September 15, 2026, consistently project a daily maximum near 30–31°C under partly cloudy to overcast skies with light southerly winds and high humidity near 80%. This aligns with the market’s near-certain 30°C outcome, reflecting convergence between model runs, real-time observations showing afternoon peaks around 30–31°C, and typical late-summer subtropical conditions where cloud cover and moisture limit extreme heating. Historical September averages for the region hover near 30–32°C, providing climatological support. A rapid shift to clear skies or revised official measurements exceeding the threshold could still alter resolution, though current data and timing make such outcomes improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 13, 2026, 12:58 PM ET
Volume
$54,490Data di fine
15 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 13, 2026, 12:58 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources for Shenzhen on September 15, 2026, consistently project a daily maximum near 30–31°C under partly cloudy to overcast skies with light southerly winds and high humidity near 80%. This aligns with the market’s near-certain 30°C outcome, reflecting convergence between model runs, real-time observations showing afternoon peaks around 30–31°C, and typical late-summer subtropical conditions where cloud cover and moisture limit extreme heating. Historical September averages for the region hover near 30–32°C, providing climatological support. A rapid shift to clear skies or revised official measurements exceeding the threshold could still alter resolution, though current data and timing make such outcomes improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$54,490Data di fine
15 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 13, 2026, 12:58 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Official forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources for Shenzhen on September 15, 2026, consistently project a daily maximum near 30–31°C under partly cloudy to overcast skies with light southerly winds and high humidity near 80%. This aligns with the market’s near-certain 30°C outcome, reflecting convergence between model runs, real-time observations showing afternoon peaks around 30–31°C, and typical late-summer subtropical conditions where cloud cover and moisture limit extreme heating. Historical September averages for the region hover near 30–32°C, providing climatological support. A rapid shift to clear skies or revised official measurements exceeding the threshold could still alter resolution, though current data and timing make such outcomes improbable.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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