Recent forecast model runs from sources including the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate mostly cloudy skies with a 12–55% chance of light rain or drizzle for Tokyo on September 23, which would limit daytime solar heating and cap the daily maximum. This follows a period of heavier rainfall and thunderstorms earlier in the week that have cooled regional air masses. Ensemble guidance shows highs clustered between 24–26°C, aligning with late-September climatological averages of roughly 25°C, though small variations in cloud cover, wind direction from the northeast, and precipitation timing could shift the peak by 1–2°C. Updated JMA briefings and short-range model outputs expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine trader consensus around the closely matched 24°C and 25°C outcomes.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Tokyo il 23 settembre?
La temperatura più alta a Tokyo il 23 settembre?
25°C 36%
24°C 32%
26°C 18%
23°C 12%
NUOVO
NUOVO
23 set 2026
20°C o meno
2%
21°C
3%
22°C
7%
23°C
12%
24°C
32%
25°C
36%
26°C
18%
27°C
6%
28°C
3%
29°C
2%
30°C o superiore
1%
25°C 36%
24°C 32%
26°C 18%
23°C 12%
NUOVO
NUOVO
23 set 2026
20°C o meno
$5 Vol.
2%
21°C
$55 Vol.
3%
22°C
$51 Vol.
7%
23°C
$153 Vol.
12%
24°C
$195 Vol.
32%
25°C
$100 Vol.
36%
26°C
$67 Vol.
18%
27°C
$80 Vol.
6%
28°C
$75 Vol.
3%
29°C
$55 Vol.
2%
30°C o superiore
$44 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs from sources including the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate mostly cloudy skies with a 12–55% chance of light rain or drizzle for Tokyo on September 23, which would limit daytime solar heating and cap the daily maximum. This follows a period of heavier rainfall and thunderstorms earlier in the week that have cooled regional air masses. Ensemble guidance shows highs clustered between 24–26°C, aligning with late-September climatological averages of roughly 25°C, though small variations in cloud cover, wind direction from the northeast, and precipitation timing could shift the peak by 1–2°C. Updated JMA briefings and short-range model outputs expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine trader consensus around the closely matched 24°C and 25°C outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$881Data di fine
23 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs from sources including the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate mostly cloudy skies with a 12–55% chance of light rain or drizzle for Tokyo on September 23, which would limit daytime solar heating and cap the daily maximum. This follows a period of heavier rainfall and thunderstorms earlier in the week that have cooled regional air masses. Ensemble guidance shows highs clustered between 24–26°C, aligning with late-September climatological averages of roughly 25°C, though small variations in cloud cover, wind direction from the northeast, and precipitation timing could shift the peak by 1–2°C. Updated JMA briefings and short-range model outputs expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine trader consensus around the closely matched 24°C and 25°C outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$881Data di fine
23 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model runs from sources including the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate mostly cloudy skies with a 12–55% chance of light rain or drizzle for Tokyo on September 23, which would limit daytime solar heating and cap the daily maximum. This follows a period of heavier rainfall and thunderstorms earlier in the week that have cooled regional air masses. Ensemble guidance shows highs clustered between 24–26°C, aligning with late-September climatological averages of roughly 25°C, though small variations in cloud cover, wind direction from the northeast, and precipitation timing could shift the peak by 1–2°C. Updated JMA briefings and short-range model outputs expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine trader consensus around the closely matched 24°C and 25°C outcomes.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti