**Current NWS and model guidance for Chicago on September 25 points to an overnight low in the mid-50s, with trader consensus reflected in elevated probabilities for the 56-57°F bin amid closely matched extreme outcomes.** Easterly winds near 5 mph, combined with mostly cloudy to partly cloudy skies, are expected to limit radiational cooling while moderating temperatures near Lake Michigan. This setup aligns with climatological norms for late September, where average lows hover around 55°F, though model spreads introduce uncertainty in exact minimums. Recent observations show stable high pressure and minimal frontal activity, reducing the likelihood of sharp drops below 50°F or anomalous warmth above 60°F. Key resolution hinges on the precise 24-hour minimum at official stations, with any last-minute forecast adjustments from the National Weather Service likely influencing remaining market movement before midnight.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Chicago il 25 settembre?
La temperatura più bassa a Chicago il 25 settembre?
47°F o inferiore 89%
66°F o superiore 86%
56-57°F 44%
60-61°F 40%
NUOVO
NUOVO
25 set 2026
47°F o inferiore
89%
48-49°F
13%
50-51°F
13%
52-53°F
38%
54-55°F
39%
56-57°F
44%
58-59°F
31%
60-61°F
40%
62-63°F
38%
64-65°F
15%
66°F o superiore
86%
47°F o inferiore 89%
66°F o superiore 86%
56-57°F 44%
60-61°F 40%
NUOVO
NUOVO
25 set 2026
47°F o inferiore
$0 Vol.
89%
48-49°F
$0 Vol.
13%
50-51°F
$0 Vol.
13%
52-53°F
$0 Vol.
38%
54-55°F
$0 Vol.
39%
56-57°F
$42 Vol.
44%
58-59°F
$13 Vol.
31%
60-61°F
$0 Vol.
40%
62-63°F
$0 Vol.
38%
64-65°F
$0 Vol.
15%
66°F o superiore
$0 Vol.
86%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current NWS and model guidance for Chicago on September 25 points to an overnight low in the mid-50s, with trader consensus reflected in elevated probabilities for the 56-57°F bin amid closely matched extreme outcomes.** Easterly winds near 5 mph, combined with mostly cloudy to partly cloudy skies, are expected to limit radiational cooling while moderating temperatures near Lake Michigan. This setup aligns with climatological norms for late September, where average lows hover around 55°F, though model spreads introduce uncertainty in exact minimums. Recent observations show stable high pressure and minimal frontal activity, reducing the likelihood of sharp drops below 50°F or anomalous warmth above 60°F. Key resolution hinges on the precise 24-hour minimum at official stations, with any last-minute forecast adjustments from the National Weather Service likely influencing remaining market movement before midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 23, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Volume
$54Data di fine
25 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 23, 2026, 3:29 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordRisolutore
0x69c47de9d...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current NWS and model guidance for Chicago on September 25 points to an overnight low in the mid-50s, with trader consensus reflected in elevated probabilities for the 56-57°F bin amid closely matched extreme outcomes.** Easterly winds near 5 mph, combined with mostly cloudy to partly cloudy skies, are expected to limit radiational cooling while moderating temperatures near Lake Michigan. This setup aligns with climatological norms for late September, where average lows hover around 55°F, though model spreads introduce uncertainty in exact minimums. Recent observations show stable high pressure and minimal frontal activity, reducing the likelihood of sharp drops below 50°F or anomalous warmth above 60°F. Key resolution hinges on the precise 24-hour minimum at official stations, with any last-minute forecast adjustments from the National Weather Service likely influencing remaining market movement before midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$54Data di fine
25 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 23, 2026, 3:29 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordRisolutore
0x69c47de9d...**Current NWS and model guidance for Chicago on September 25 points to an overnight low in the mid-50s, with trader consensus reflected in elevated probabilities for the 56-57°F bin amid closely matched extreme outcomes.** Easterly winds near 5 mph, combined with mostly cloudy to partly cloudy skies, are expected to limit radiational cooling while moderating temperatures near Lake Michigan. This setup aligns with climatological norms for late September, where average lows hover around 55°F, though model spreads introduce uncertainty in exact minimums. Recent observations show stable high pressure and minimal frontal activity, reducing the likelihood of sharp drops below 50°F or anomalous warmth above 60°F. Key resolution hinges on the precise 24-hour minimum at official stations, with any last-minute forecast adjustments from the National Weather Service likely influencing remaining market movement before midnight.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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