Recent official forecasts from Météo-France-aligned sources and global models such as GFS and ECMWF converge on a daytime high of 24–26°C for Paris on September 23 under stable high pressure, clear to partly cloudy skies, and light northeasterly flow that favors strong solar heating with minimal mixing or cloud interference. This setup places the most likely peak near 26°C, aligning with the market’s leading 50.5% implied probability, while the 25–27°C cluster accounts for nearly all remaining volume. The outcome sits several degrees above the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 20.4°C, reflecting a warmer-than-normal airmass without significant model spread or precipitation risk to alter the range. Final resolution will depend on the official Météo-France observation at the Paris-Montsouris station.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Parigi il 23 settembre?
26°C 53%
27°C 25%
25°C 18%
24°C 6%
$22,410 Vol.
$22,410 Vol.
21°C o inferiore
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
2%
24°C
6%
25°C
18%
26°C
53%
27°C
25%
28°C
3%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C o superiore
<1%
26°C 53%
27°C 25%
25°C 18%
24°C 6%
$22,410 Vol.
$22,410 Vol.
21°C o inferiore
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
2%
24°C
6%
25°C
18%
26°C
53%
27°C
25%
28°C
3%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C o superiore
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 21, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from Météo-France-aligned sources and global models such as GFS and ECMWF converge on a daytime high of 24–26°C for Paris on September 23 under stable high pressure, clear to partly cloudy skies, and light northeasterly flow that favors strong solar heating with minimal mixing or cloud interference. This setup places the most likely peak near 26°C, aligning with the market’s leading 50.5% implied probability, while the 25–27°C cluster accounts for nearly all remaining volume. The outcome sits several degrees above the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 20.4°C, reflecting a warmer-than-normal airmass without significant model spread or precipitation risk to alter the range. Final resolution will depend on the official Météo-France observation at the Paris-Montsouris station.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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