Forecast consensus from the National Weather Service and supporting models places Chicago’s September 25 high in the mid-60s, driven by persistent easterly flow off Lake Michigan that supplies cooler, stable air and maintains extensive cloud cover through much of the day. This pattern suppresses daytime warming relative to climatological averages near 73 °F, with limited solar heating and dew points in the 50s further capping the maximum. Traders have priced 66–67 °F and 68–69 °F nearly equally because small differences in the timing of any afternoon clearing or slight model spread in boundary-layer mixing could shift the peak by 1–2 °F. No major synoptic changes are expected before resolution, so updated NWS point forecasts and hourly observations on the 25th will determine the final bucket.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Chicago il 25 settembre?
La temperatura più alta a Chicago il 25 settembre?
68-69°F 42%
66-67°F 29%
70-71°F 18%
64-65°F 8%
NUOVO
NUOVO
25 set 2026
57°F o inferiore
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
2%
64-65°F
8%
66-67°F
29%
68-69°F
42%
70-71°F
18%
72-73°F
3%
74-75°F
<1%
76°F o superiore
<1%
68-69°F 42%
66-67°F 29%
70-71°F 18%
64-65°F 8%
NUOVO
NUOVO
25 set 2026
57°F o inferiore
$153 Vol.
<1%
58-59°F
$95 Vol.
<1%
60-61°F
$121 Vol.
1%
62-63°F
$68 Vol.
2%
64-65°F
$97 Vol.
8%
66-67°F
$1,659 Vol.
29%
68-69°F
$280 Vol.
42%
70-71°F
$628 Vol.
18%
72-73°F
$269 Vol.
3%
74-75°F
$280 Vol.
<1%
76°F o superiore
$100 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from the National Weather Service and supporting models places Chicago’s September 25 high in the mid-60s, driven by persistent easterly flow off Lake Michigan that supplies cooler, stable air and maintains extensive cloud cover through much of the day. This pattern suppresses daytime warming relative to climatological averages near 73 °F, with limited solar heating and dew points in the 50s further capping the maximum. Traders have priced 66–67 °F and 68–69 °F nearly equally because small differences in the timing of any afternoon clearing or slight model spread in boundary-layer mixing could shift the peak by 1–2 °F. No major synoptic changes are expected before resolution, so updated NWS point forecasts and hourly observations on the 25th will determine the final bucket.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 23, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
Volume
$3,750Data di fine
25 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 23, 2026, 3:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordRisolutore
0x69c47de9d...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from the National Weather Service and supporting models places Chicago’s September 25 high in the mid-60s, driven by persistent easterly flow off Lake Michigan that supplies cooler, stable air and maintains extensive cloud cover through much of the day. This pattern suppresses daytime warming relative to climatological averages near 73 °F, with limited solar heating and dew points in the 50s further capping the maximum. Traders have priced 66–67 °F and 68–69 °F nearly equally because small differences in the timing of any afternoon clearing or slight model spread in boundary-layer mixing could shift the peak by 1–2 °F. No major synoptic changes are expected before resolution, so updated NWS point forecasts and hourly observations on the 25th will determine the final bucket.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,750Data di fine
25 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 23, 2026, 3:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordRisolutore
0x69c47de9d...Forecast consensus from the National Weather Service and supporting models places Chicago’s September 25 high in the mid-60s, driven by persistent easterly flow off Lake Michigan that supplies cooler, stable air and maintains extensive cloud cover through much of the day. This pattern suppresses daytime warming relative to climatological averages near 73 °F, with limited solar heating and dew points in the 50s further capping the maximum. Traders have priced 66–67 °F and 68–69 °F nearly equally because small differences in the timing of any afternoon clearing or slight model spread in boundary-layer mixing could shift the peak by 1–2 °F. No major synoptic changes are expected before resolution, so updated NWS point forecasts and hourly observations on the 25th will determine the final bucket.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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