Current forecasts from multiple models, including WeatherBug, Ventusky, and ACCESS-G, point to a Wednesday high near 9–11°C in Wellington under a southerly flow, with partly cloudy skies, a 30–60% chance of showers, and winds of 15–25 knots moderating daytime warming. Spring conditions and advection of cooler Southern Ocean air limit solar heating, keeping maxima below seasonal averages near 14°C. Recent model runs show tight clustering around 10°C, with minor timing differences in cloud cover or wind shifts creating the narrow uncertainty that places 11°C at 56% implied probability and 12°C at 28%. Official MetService or airport observations will resolve the exact peak within the 9–12°C band.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Wellington il 23 settembre?
11°C 57%
12°C 24%
10°C 15%
13°C 4%
$10,169 Vol.
$10,169 Vol.
5°C o inferiore
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
3%
10°C
15%
11°C
57%
12°C
24%
13°C
4%
14°C
<1%
15°C o superiore
<1%
11°C 57%
12°C 24%
10°C 15%
13°C 4%
$10,169 Vol.
$10,169 Vol.
5°C o inferiore
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
3%
10°C
15%
11°C
57%
12°C
24%
13°C
4%
14°C
<1%
15°C o superiore
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from multiple models, including WeatherBug, Ventusky, and ACCESS-G, point to a Wednesday high near 9–11°C in Wellington under a southerly flow, with partly cloudy skies, a 30–60% chance of showers, and winds of 15–25 knots moderating daytime warming. Spring conditions and advection of cooler Southern Ocean air limit solar heating, keeping maxima below seasonal averages near 14°C. Recent model runs show tight clustering around 10°C, with minor timing differences in cloud cover or wind shifts creating the narrow uncertainty that places 11°C at 56% implied probability and 12°C at 28%. Official MetService or airport observations will resolve the exact peak within the 9–12°C band.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato

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