Recent PAGASA forecasts and dynamical models indicate maximum temperatures in Manila on September 25 will most likely reach 32–33°C, consistent with the market’s leading implied probabilities. A strong El Niño event, with Niño 3.4 anomalies near +3.0°C, is driving warmer-than-average conditions across Luzon during the September 24–30 period. Southwest monsoon influences and localized thunderstorm activity, expected with 70–80% rain chances, may moderate afternoon peaks through cloud cover and evaporative cooling while sustaining high humidity. Historical September averages hover near 32°C, and the current 5-day PAGASA outlook lists 25–32°C ranges for Metro Manila. Updated model runs and the next PAGASA bulletin will refine steering patterns and intensification potential ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Manila il 25 settembre?
La temperatura più alta a Manila il 25 settembre?
33°C 56%
34°C 24%
32°C 18%
30°C 4%
NUOVO
NUOVO
25 set 2026
27°C o inferiore
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
2%
30°C
4%
31°C
3%
32°C
18%
33°C
56%
34°C
24%
35°C
3%
36°C
2%
37°C o superiore
<1%
33°C 56%
34°C 24%
32°C 18%
30°C 4%
NUOVO
NUOVO
25 set 2026
27°C o inferiore
$118 Vol.
1%
28°C
$80 Vol.
2%
29°C
$33 Vol.
2%
30°C
$49 Vol.
4%
31°C
$93 Vol.
3%
32°C
$98 Vol.
18%
33°C
$707 Vol.
56%
34°C
$186 Vol.
24%
35°C
$56 Vol.
3%
36°C
$0 Vol.
2%
37°C o superiore
$171 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent PAGASA forecasts and dynamical models indicate maximum temperatures in Manila on September 25 will most likely reach 32–33°C, consistent with the market’s leading implied probabilities. A strong El Niño event, with Niño 3.4 anomalies near +3.0°C, is driving warmer-than-average conditions across Luzon during the September 24–30 period. Southwest monsoon influences and localized thunderstorm activity, expected with 70–80% rain chances, may moderate afternoon peaks through cloud cover and evaporative cooling while sustaining high humidity. Historical September averages hover near 32°C, and the current 5-day PAGASA outlook lists 25–32°C ranges for Metro Manila. Updated model runs and the next PAGASA bulletin will refine steering patterns and intensification potential ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 23, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
Volume
$1,591Data di fine
25 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 23, 2026, 12:59 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent PAGASA forecasts and dynamical models indicate maximum temperatures in Manila on September 25 will most likely reach 32–33°C, consistent with the market’s leading implied probabilities. A strong El Niño event, with Niño 3.4 anomalies near +3.0°C, is driving warmer-than-average conditions across Luzon during the September 24–30 period. Southwest monsoon influences and localized thunderstorm activity, expected with 70–80% rain chances, may moderate afternoon peaks through cloud cover and evaporative cooling while sustaining high humidity. Historical September averages hover near 32°C, and the current 5-day PAGASA outlook lists 25–32°C ranges for Metro Manila. Updated model runs and the next PAGASA bulletin will refine steering patterns and intensification potential ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,591Data di fine
25 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 23, 2026, 12:59 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent PAGASA forecasts and dynamical models indicate maximum temperatures in Manila on September 25 will most likely reach 32–33°C, consistent with the market’s leading implied probabilities. A strong El Niño event, with Niño 3.4 anomalies near +3.0°C, is driving warmer-than-average conditions across Luzon during the September 24–30 period. Southwest monsoon influences and localized thunderstorm activity, expected with 70–80% rain chances, may moderate afternoon peaks through cloud cover and evaporative cooling while sustaining high humidity. Historical September averages hover near 32°C, and the current 5-day PAGASA outlook lists 25–32°C ranges for Metro Manila. Updated model runs and the next PAGASA bulletin will refine steering patterns and intensification potential ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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