The preliminary University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment index for September 2026 printed at 47.8 on September 11, down 7.5% from the August final of 51.7 and below economist expectations near 51. This reading anchors the 74% market-implied probability for the 46.0–48.9 bin ahead of the final release on September 25. The decline was driven by a sharp drop in the expectations component to 45.8, as consumers cited renewed pressure on household budgets from higher fuel prices, ongoing trade tensions, and a jump in one-year inflation expectations to 4.6%. These developments have reinforced trader consensus around a subdued print while leaving limited room for sizable upward revision in the final data.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui46.0 to 48.9 74%
43.0 to 45.9 21%
49.0 to 51.9 5.9%
<43.0 3.5%
$10,806 Vol.
$10,806 Vol.
Sep 25, 2026
<43.0
4%
43.0 to 45.9
21%
46.0 to 48.9
74%
49.0 to 51.9
6%
52.0 to 54.9
<1%
55.0 to 57.9
3%
58.0+
<1%
46.0 to 48.9 74%
43.0 to 45.9 21%
49.0 to 51.9 5.9%
<43.0 3.5%
$10,806 Vol.
$10,806 Vol.
Sep 25, 2026
<43.0
$755 Vol.
4%
43.0 to 45.9
$1,521 Vol.
21%
46.0 to 48.9
$5,784 Vol.
74%
49.0 to 51.9
$595 Vol.
6%
52.0 to 54.9
$470 Vol.
<1%
55.0 to 57.9
$1,238 Vol.
3%
58.0+
$442 Vol.
<1%
This is a market about the University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment (ICS) for September 2026, as reported by the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for September 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release.
The resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for September 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on September 25, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered.
Note: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.The preliminary University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment index for September 2026 printed at 47.8 on September 11, down 7.5% from the August final of 51.7 and below economist expectations near 51. This reading anchors the 74% market-implied probability for the 46.0–48.9 bin ahead of the final release on September 25. The decline was driven by a sharp drop in the expectations component to 45.8, as consumers cited renewed pressure on household budgets from higher fuel prices, ongoing trade tensions, and a jump in one-year inflation expectations to 4.6%. These developments have reinforced trader consensus around a subdued print while leaving limited room for sizable upward revision in the final data.
This is a market about the University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment (ICS) for September 2026, as reported by the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for September 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release.
The resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for September 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on September 25, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered.
Note: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for September 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release.
The resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for September 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on September 25, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered.
Note: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 8, 2026, 4:34 PM ET
Volume
$10,806Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 25, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 8, 2026, 4:34 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about the University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment (ICS) for September 2026, as reported by the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for September 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release.
The resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for September 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on September 25, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered.
Note: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.The preliminary University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment index for September 2026 printed at 47.8 on September 11, down 7.5% from the August final of 51.7 and below economist expectations near 51. This reading anchors the 74% market-implied probability for the 46.0–48.9 bin ahead of the final release on September 25. The decline was driven by a sharp drop in the expectations component to 45.8, as consumers cited renewed pressure on household budgets from higher fuel prices, ongoing trade tensions, and a jump in one-year inflation expectations to 4.6%. These developments have reinforced trader consensus around a subdued print while leaving limited room for sizable upward revision in the final data.
This is a market about the University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment (ICS) for September 2026, as reported by the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for September 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release.
The resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for September 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on September 25, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered.
Note: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for September 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release.
The resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for September 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on September 25, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered.
Note: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Volume
$10,806Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 25, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 8, 2026, 4:34 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The preliminary University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment index for September 2026 printed at 47.8 on September 11, down 7.5% from the August final of 51.7 and below economist expectations near 51. This reading anchors the 74% market-implied probability for the 46.0–48.9 bin ahead of the final release on September 25. The decline was driven by a sharp drop in the expectations component to 45.8, as consumers cited renewed pressure on household budgets from higher fuel prices, ongoing trade tensions, and a jump in one-year inflation expectations to 4.6%. These developments have reinforced trader consensus around a subdued print while leaving limited room for sizable upward revision in the final data.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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