Recent August PPI data at 5.4% YoY, exceeding forecasts by 0.1 percentage point amid a 1.1% monthly goods surge led by 24.1% diesel fuel gains, has elevated market-implied odds for September readings near or above 5.8%. Persistent energy and intermediate goods pressures, combined with the upcoming September 15-16 FOMC meeting where rate-hike probabilities have risen sharply, reinforce trader focus on whether wholesale inflation will accelerate further or stabilize. The dispersed probabilities across 5.1–5.9%+ outcomes reflect uncertainty over energy volatility, core services trends, and any seasonal or revision effects in the October 15 release, with the 5.9%+ bucket holding the highest implied probability at 27%.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui5.9%+ 26%
5.8% 20%
5.4% 14%
5.2% 11%
BARU
BARU
Oct 15, 2026
≤5.0%
3%
5.1%
8%
5.2%
11%
5.3%
6%
5.4%
14%
5.5%
14%
5.6%
8%
5.7%
9%
5.8%
16%
5.9%+
26%
5.9%+ 26%
5.8% 20%
5.4% 14%
5.2% 11%
BARU
BARU
Oct 15, 2026
≤5.0%
$86 Vol.
3%
5.1%
$108 Vol.
8%
5.2%
$111 Vol.
11%
5.3%
$86 Vol.
6%
5.4%
$108 Vol.
14%
5.5%
$158 Vol.
14%
5.6%
$145 Vol.
8%
5.7%
$140 Vol.
9%
5.8%
$148 Vol.
16%
5.9%+
$989 Vol.
26%
This is a market about the Producer Price Index (PPI) for final demand over the 12-month period ending September 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Producer Price Index (PPI) for final demand over the 12-month period ending in September 2026, before seasonal adjustment, according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Producer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/ppi/), currently scheduled to be released on October 15, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS PPI news release, which reports PPI over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 6.0%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. This market resolves on the total PPI for final demand figure, not the core PPI figure excluding food and energy.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next PPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent August PPI data at 5.4% YoY, exceeding forecasts by 0.1 percentage point amid a 1.1% monthly goods surge led by 24.1% diesel fuel gains, has elevated market-implied odds for September readings near or above 5.8%. Persistent energy and intermediate goods pressures, combined with the upcoming September 15-16 FOMC meeting where rate-hike probabilities have risen sharply, reinforce trader focus on whether wholesale inflation will accelerate further or stabilize. The dispersed probabilities across 5.1–5.9%+ outcomes reflect uncertainty over energy volatility, core services trends, and any seasonal or revision effects in the October 15 release, with the 5.9%+ bucket holding the highest implied probability at 27%.
This is a market about the Producer Price Index (PPI) for final demand over the 12-month period ending September 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Producer Price Index (PPI) for final demand over the 12-month period ending in September 2026, before seasonal adjustment, according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Producer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/ppi/), currently scheduled to be released on October 15, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS PPI news release, which reports PPI over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 6.0%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. This market resolves on the total PPI for final demand figure, not the core PPI figure excluding food and energy.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next PPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Producer Price Index (PPI) for final demand over the 12-month period ending in September 2026, before seasonal adjustment, according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Producer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/ppi/), currently scheduled to be released on October 15, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS PPI news release, which reports PPI over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 6.0%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. This market resolves on the total PPI for final demand figure, not the core PPI figure excluding food and energy.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next PPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 11, 2026, 3:48 PM ET
Volume
$2,078Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 16, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 11, 2026, 3:48 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.bls.gov/ppi/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about the Producer Price Index (PPI) for final demand over the 12-month period ending September 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Producer Price Index (PPI) for final demand over the 12-month period ending in September 2026, before seasonal adjustment, according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Producer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/ppi/), currently scheduled to be released on October 15, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS PPI news release, which reports PPI over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 6.0%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. This market resolves on the total PPI for final demand figure, not the core PPI figure excluding food and energy.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next PPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent August PPI data at 5.4% YoY, exceeding forecasts by 0.1 percentage point amid a 1.1% monthly goods surge led by 24.1% diesel fuel gains, has elevated market-implied odds for September readings near or above 5.8%. Persistent energy and intermediate goods pressures, combined with the upcoming September 15-16 FOMC meeting where rate-hike probabilities have risen sharply, reinforce trader focus on whether wholesale inflation will accelerate further or stabilize. The dispersed probabilities across 5.1–5.9%+ outcomes reflect uncertainty over energy volatility, core services trends, and any seasonal or revision effects in the October 15 release, with the 5.9%+ bucket holding the highest implied probability at 27%.
This is a market about the Producer Price Index (PPI) for final demand over the 12-month period ending September 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Producer Price Index (PPI) for final demand over the 12-month period ending in September 2026, before seasonal adjustment, according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Producer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/ppi/), currently scheduled to be released on October 15, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS PPI news release, which reports PPI over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 6.0%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. This market resolves on the total PPI for final demand figure, not the core PPI figure excluding food and energy.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next PPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Producer Price Index (PPI) for final demand over the 12-month period ending in September 2026, before seasonal adjustment, according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Producer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/ppi/), currently scheduled to be released on October 15, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS PPI news release, which reports PPI over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 6.0%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. This market resolves on the total PPI for final demand figure, not the core PPI figure excluding food and energy.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next PPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Volume
$2,078Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 16, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 11, 2026, 3:48 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.bls.gov/ppi/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent August PPI data at 5.4% YoY, exceeding forecasts by 0.1 percentage point amid a 1.1% monthly goods surge led by 24.1% diesel fuel gains, has elevated market-implied odds for September readings near or above 5.8%. Persistent energy and intermediate goods pressures, combined with the upcoming September 15-16 FOMC meeting where rate-hike probabilities have risen sharply, reinforce trader focus on whether wholesale inflation will accelerate further or stabilize. The dispersed probabilities across 5.1–5.9%+ outcomes reflect uncertainty over energy volatility, core services trends, and any seasonal or revision effects in the October 15 release, with the 5.9%+ bucket holding the highest implied probability at 27%.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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