Recent August 2026 data showed U.S. core CPI easing to 2.4% year-over-year from 2.5% in July, aligning with consensus and supporting the market's 46.5% implied probability on a 2.4% September print. The Cleveland Fed nowcast stands at 2.39% for the September reading, reflecting subdued underlying pressures outside energy and food amid a labor market with unemployment near 4.1%. Traders price the 2.5% outcome at 23.5% as the next most likely, consistent with models projecting modest reacceleration risks from shelter and services. The Federal Reserve's September rate hike to a 3.75-4.00% target range, coupled with upward revisions to its 2026 inflation projections, underscores persistent upside risks that could influence October's release. The September CPI report, due October 14, remains the key near-term catalyst.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui2.4% 47%
2.5% 24%
2.3% 18%
2.6% 9%
BARU
BARU
Oct 14, 2026
≤2.0%
3%
2.1%
2%
2.2%
3%
2.3%
18%
2.4%
47%
2.5%
24%
2.6%
9%
2.7%
4%
2.8%
4%
≥2.9%
3%
2.4% 47%
2.5% 24%
2.3% 18%
2.6% 9%
BARU
BARU
Oct 14, 2026
≤2.0%
$171 Vol.
3%
2.1%
$171 Vol.
2%
2.2%
$217 Vol.
3%
2.3%
$985 Vol.
18%
2.4%
$1,845 Vol.
47%
2.5%
$566 Vol.
24%
2.6%
$311 Vol.
9%
2.7%
$211 Vol.
4%
2.8%
$171 Vol.
4%
≥2.9%
$378 Vol.
3%
This is a market about core inflation (excluding food and energy) over the 12-month period ending September 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) over the 12-month period ending in September 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure (the all items index excluding food and energy), not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent August 2026 data showed U.S. core CPI easing to 2.4% year-over-year from 2.5% in July, aligning with consensus and supporting the market's 46.5% implied probability on a 2.4% September print. The Cleveland Fed nowcast stands at 2.39% for the September reading, reflecting subdued underlying pressures outside energy and food amid a labor market with unemployment near 4.1%. Traders price the 2.5% outcome at 23.5% as the next most likely, consistent with models projecting modest reacceleration risks from shelter and services. The Federal Reserve's September rate hike to a 3.75-4.00% target range, coupled with upward revisions to its 2026 inflation projections, underscores persistent upside risks that could influence October's release. The September CPI report, due October 14, remains the key near-term catalyst.
This is a market about core inflation (excluding food and energy) over the 12-month period ending September 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) over the 12-month period ending in September 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure (the all items index excluding food and energy), not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) over the 12-month period ending in September 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure (the all items index excluding food and energy), not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 11, 2026, 11:29 AM ET
Volume
$5,026Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 15, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 11, 2026, 11:29 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about core inflation (excluding food and energy) over the 12-month period ending September 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) over the 12-month period ending in September 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure (the all items index excluding food and energy), not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent August 2026 data showed U.S. core CPI easing to 2.4% year-over-year from 2.5% in July, aligning with consensus and supporting the market's 46.5% implied probability on a 2.4% September print. The Cleveland Fed nowcast stands at 2.39% for the September reading, reflecting subdued underlying pressures outside energy and food amid a labor market with unemployment near 4.1%. Traders price the 2.5% outcome at 23.5% as the next most likely, consistent with models projecting modest reacceleration risks from shelter and services. The Federal Reserve's September rate hike to a 3.75-4.00% target range, coupled with upward revisions to its 2026 inflation projections, underscores persistent upside risks that could influence October's release. The September CPI report, due October 14, remains the key near-term catalyst.
This is a market about core inflation (excluding food and energy) over the 12-month period ending September 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) over the 12-month period ending in September 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure (the all items index excluding food and energy), not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) over the 12-month period ending in September 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure (the all items index excluding food and energy), not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Volume
$5,026Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 15, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 11, 2026, 11:29 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent August 2026 data showed U.S. core CPI easing to 2.4% year-over-year from 2.5% in July, aligning with consensus and supporting the market's 46.5% implied probability on a 2.4% September print. The Cleveland Fed nowcast stands at 2.39% for the September reading, reflecting subdued underlying pressures outside energy and food amid a labor market with unemployment near 4.1%. Traders price the 2.5% outcome at 23.5% as the next most likely, consistent with models projecting modest reacceleration risks from shelter and services. The Federal Reserve's September rate hike to a 3.75-4.00% target range, coupled with upward revisions to its 2026 inflation projections, underscores persistent upside risks that could influence October's release. The September CPI report, due October 14, remains the key near-term catalyst.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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