Recent Fed tightening and persistent inflation pressures have driven the 10-year Treasury yield to multi-year highs near 5.04%, its strongest level since 2007, before easing slightly to around 4.97% on September 17, 2026. The FOMC’s unanimous 25-basis-point hike to a 3.75%-4.00% fed funds target range, paired with Chair Kevin Warsh’s hawkish emphasis on elevated inflation amid surging energy prices from geopolitical tensions, has lifted short-term rate expectations and term premia. Resilient growth, heavy Treasury and corporate debt supply, and higher real yields have compounded upward pressure, with traders now assessing whether yields can sustain levels above 5% into 2027. Key near-term catalysts include upcoming inflation releases and the next FOMC meeting.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
$486,186 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
5.1%
83%
5.2%
68%
5.5%
17%
5.7%
7%
6.0%
5%
$486,186 Vol.
5.1%
$11,298 Vol.
83%
5.2%
$78,851 Vol.
68%
5.5%
$42,201 Vol.
17%
5.7%
$19,270 Vol.
7%
6.0%
$13,465 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for all days in the specified period. If data is not available for all days in the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) of the end of that period, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between December 9, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for all days in the specified period. If data is not available for all days in the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) of the end of that period, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).Recent Fed tightening and persistent inflation pressures have driven the 10-year Treasury yield to multi-year highs near 5.04%, its strongest level since 2007, before easing slightly to around 4.97% on September 17, 2026. The FOMC’s unanimous 25-basis-point hike to a 3.75%-4.00% fed funds target range, paired with Chair Kevin Warsh’s hawkish emphasis on elevated inflation amid surging energy prices from geopolitical tensions, has lifted short-term rate expectations and term premia. Resilient growth, heavy Treasury and corporate debt supply, and higher real yields have compounded upward pressure, with traders now assessing whether yields can sustain levels above 5% into 2027. Key near-term catalysts include upcoming inflation releases and the next FOMC meeting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for all days in the specified period. If data is not available for all days in the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) of the end of that period, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for all days in the specified period. If data is not available for all days in the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) of the end of that period, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 10, 2026, 11:28 AM ET
Volume
$486,186Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 10, 2026, 11:28 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for all days in the specified period. If data is not available for all days in the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) of the end of that period, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between December 9, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for all days in the specified period. If data is not available for all days in the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) of the end of that period, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).Recent Fed tightening and persistent inflation pressures have driven the 10-year Treasury yield to multi-year highs near 5.04%, its strongest level since 2007, before easing slightly to around 4.97% on September 17, 2026. The FOMC’s unanimous 25-basis-point hike to a 3.75%-4.00% fed funds target range, paired with Chair Kevin Warsh’s hawkish emphasis on elevated inflation amid surging energy prices from geopolitical tensions, has lifted short-term rate expectations and term premia. Resilient growth, heavy Treasury and corporate debt supply, and higher real yields have compounded upward pressure, with traders now assessing whether yields can sustain levels above 5% into 2027. Key near-term catalysts include upcoming inflation releases and the next FOMC meeting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for all days in the specified period. If data is not available for all days in the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) of the end of that period, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for all days in the specified period. If data is not available for all days in the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) of the end of that period, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
Volume
$486,186Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 10, 2026, 11:28 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent Fed tightening and persistent inflation pressures have driven the 10-year Treasury yield to multi-year highs near 5.04%, its strongest level since 2007, before easing slightly to around 4.97% on September 17, 2026. The FOMC’s unanimous 25-basis-point hike to a 3.75%-4.00% fed funds target range, paired with Chair Kevin Warsh’s hawkish emphasis on elevated inflation amid surging energy prices from geopolitical tensions, has lifted short-term rate expectations and term premia. Resilient growth, heavy Treasury and corporate debt supply, and higher real yields have compounded upward pressure, with traders now assessing whether yields can sustain levels above 5% into 2027. Key near-term catalysts include upcoming inflation releases and the next FOMC meeting.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan