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icon for Next Premier of Quebec
Pemilihan Umum·Pemilihan Umum Global

Next Premier of Quebec

icon for Next Premier of Quebec
Pemilihan Umum·Pemilihan Umum Global

Next Premier of Quebec

Paul St-Pierre Plamondon 72%

Christine Fréchette 24.1%

Charles Milliard 2.7%

Bernard Drainville <1%

Polymarket

$319,542 Vol.

Paul St-Pierre Plamondon 72%

Christine Fréchette 24.1%

Charles Milliard 2.7%

Bernard Drainville <1%

Polymarket

$319,542 Vol.

icon for Paul St-Pierre Plamondon

Paul St-Pierre Plamondon

$21,843 Vol.

72%

icon for Christine Fréchette

Christine Fréchette

$78,183 Vol.

24%

icon for Charles Milliard

Charles Milliard

$18,842 Vol.

3%

icon for Bernard Drainville

Bernard Drainville

$61,577 Vol.

<1%

icon for Éric Duhaime

Éric Duhaime

$49,514 Vol.

<1%

icon for Sol Zanetti

Sol Zanetti

$52,786 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ruba Ghazal

Ruba Ghazal

$36,797 Vol.

<1%

The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Paul St-Pierre Plamondon leads the Parti Québécois, which has held a consistent polling edge near 29 percent ahead of the October 5 election, translating into strong seat projections that favor his party winning the most seats and forming government. This positioning underpins the elevated market consensus around his selection as premier. Christine Fréchette, the incumbent CAQ leader since April, has seen modest recent gains from her campaign focus on the economy and tariffs, narrowing the gap in some surveys but leaving her party behind in overall support. Charles Milliard’s Liberals and smaller-party leaders trail further due to weaker provincial momentum. Recent debates and platform exchanges on sovereignty, immigration, and fiscal issues have reinforced these standings without major shifts in the final weeks before voting.

The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$319,542
Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 5, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
May 1, 2026, 6:13 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Paul St-Pierre Plamondon leads the Parti Québécois, which has held a consistent polling edge near 29 percent ahead of the October 5 election, translating into strong seat projections that favor his party winning the most seats and forming government. This positioning underpins the elevated market consensus around his selection as premier. Christine Fréchette, the incumbent CAQ leader since April, has seen modest recent gains from her campaign focus on the economy and tariffs, narrowing the gap in some surveys but leaving her party behind in overall support. Charles Milliard’s Liberals and smaller-party leaders trail further due to weaker provincial momentum. Recent debates and platform exchanges on sovereignty, immigration, and fiscal issues have reinforced these standings without major shifts in the final weeks before voting.

The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$319,542
Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 5, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
May 1, 2026, 6:13 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

Terkait

icon for Apakah Parti Québécois akan memenangkan kursi terbanyak dalam pemilihan umum Quebec 2026?

Apakah Parti Québécois akan memenangkan kursi terbanyak dalam pemilihan umum Quebec 2026?

76%
Ya
icon for Will the PQ win fewer than 50 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election?

Will the PQ win fewer than 50 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election?

62%
icon for Will the PLQ win 28-31 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election?

Will the PLQ win 28-31 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election?

35%

Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.

Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Next Premier of Quebec" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 7 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Paul St-Pierre Plamondon" di 72%, diikuti oleh "Christine Fréchette" di 24%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 72¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 72% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Next Premier of Quebec" telah menghasilkan $319.5K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada May 1, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Next Premier of Quebec," jelajahi 7 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Next Premier of Quebec" adalah "Paul St-Pierre Plamondon" di 72%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 72% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Christine Fréchette" di 24%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Next Premier of Quebec" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.