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icon for Tongatapu 2 By-Election Winner
Dunia·Tonga

Tongatapu 2 By-Election Winner

icon for Tongatapu 2 By-Election Winner
Dunia·Tonga

Tongatapu 2 By-Election Winner

Sione Harvard Tupouniua 42%

Samiuela Vea 41%

Lei Paasi 28%

Alvin Lafu Sika 24%

Polymarket
BARU

Sione Harvard Tupouniua 42%

Samiuela Vea 41%

Lei Paasi 28%

Alvin Lafu Sika 24%

Polymarket
BARU

Sione Harvard Tupouniua

$0 Vol.

42%

Samiuela Vea

$0 Vol.

41%

Lei Paasi

$0 Vol.

28%

Alvin Lafu Sika

$0 Vol.

24%

Malakai Matafonuafo'ou 'Ofa ki Wakawaka Koloamatangi

$0 Vol.

24%

Mele Teusivi 'Amanaki

$0 Vol.

24%

Mounu Uaisele

$0 Vol.

24%

'Ilaisa Lepolo Taunisila

$0 Vol.

23%

'Olioni Manoa

$0 Vol.

16%

A by-election in the Tongan constituency of Tongatapu 2 is scheduled to take place on October 8, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Tongatapu 2 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Tonga. If the result of this election isn’t known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Tonga Electoral Commission (https://elections.gov.to/; https://www.facebook.com/KomisoniFili).**The Tongatapu 2 by-election, set for 8 October 2026, follows the Supreme Court’s upholding of bribery and campaign-spending convictions against former MP and minister Semisi Sika, who is barred from contesting for five years.** This created an open seat in the Nuku’alofa-area constituency after Sika’s 2025 victory over ‘Uhilamoelangi Fasi. Nine independent candidates registered in early September, including Samiuela Vea, Sione Harvard Tupouniua, Mounu Uaisele, Alvin Lafu Sika, Mele Teusivi ‘Amanaki, Malakai Matafonuafo’ou ‘Ofa ki Wakawaka Koloamatangi, ‘Ilaisa Lepolo Taunisila, ‘Olioni Manoa, and others. With no dominant frontrunner and all candidates drawing from overlapping village networks in Kolofo’ou, Haveluloto, Fanga-‘o-Pilolevu and surrounding areas, trader probabilities remain tightly clustered. The short campaign window, reliance on personal endorsements and local turnout, and absence of party structures limit rapid shifts, though late endorsements or candidate withdrawals could consolidate support and widen gaps before polling.

A by-election in the Tongan constituency of Tongatapu 2 is scheduled to take place on October 8, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Tongatapu 2 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Tonga.

If the result of this election isn’t known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Tonga Electoral Commission (https://elections.gov.to/; https://www.facebook.com/KomisoniFili).A by-election in the Tongan constituency of Tongatapu 2 is scheduled to take place on October 8, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Tongatapu 2 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Tonga. If the result of this election isn’t known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Tonga Electoral Commission (https://elections.gov.to/; https://www.facebook.com/KomisoniFili).
Volume
$0
Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 8, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Sep 9, 2026, 5:47 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A by-election in the Tongan constituency of Tongatapu 2 is scheduled to take place on October 8, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Tongatapu 2 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Tonga. If the result of this election isn’t known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Tonga Electoral Commission (https://elections.gov.to/; https://www.facebook.com/KomisoniFili).**The Tongatapu 2 by-election, set for 8 October 2026, follows the Supreme Court’s upholding of bribery and campaign-spending convictions against former MP and minister Semisi Sika, who is barred from contesting for five years.** This created an open seat in the Nuku’alofa-area constituency after Sika’s 2025 victory over ‘Uhilamoelangi Fasi. Nine independent candidates registered in early September, including Samiuela Vea, Sione Harvard Tupouniua, Mounu Uaisele, Alvin Lafu Sika, Mele Teusivi ‘Amanaki, Malakai Matafonuafo’ou ‘Ofa ki Wakawaka Koloamatangi, ‘Ilaisa Lepolo Taunisila, ‘Olioni Manoa, and others. With no dominant frontrunner and all candidates drawing from overlapping village networks in Kolofo’ou, Haveluloto, Fanga-‘o-Pilolevu and surrounding areas, trader probabilities remain tightly clustered. The short campaign window, reliance on personal endorsements and local turnout, and absence of party structures limit rapid shifts, though late endorsements or candidate withdrawals could consolidate support and widen gaps before polling.

A by-election in the Tongan constituency of Tongatapu 2 is scheduled to take place on October 8, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Tongatapu 2 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Tonga.

If the result of this election isn’t known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Tonga Electoral Commission (https://elections.gov.to/; https://www.facebook.com/KomisoniFili).A by-election in the Tongan constituency of Tongatapu 2 is scheduled to take place on October 8, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Tongatapu 2 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Tonga. If the result of this election isn’t known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Tonga Electoral Commission (https://elections.gov.to/; https://www.facebook.com/KomisoniFili).
Volume
$0
Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 8, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Sep 9, 2026, 5:47 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Tongatapu 2 By-Election Winner" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 9 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Sione Harvard Tupouniua" di 42%, diikuti oleh "Samiuela Vea" di 41%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 42¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 42% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

"Tongatapu 2 By-Election Winner" adalah pasar yang baru dibuat di Polymarket, diluncurkan pada Sep 9, 2026. Sebagai pasar awal, ini adalah kesempatanmu untuk menjadi salah satu trader pertama yang menetapkan peluang dan membangun sinyal harga awal pasar. Kamu juga bisa menandai halaman ini untuk melacak volume dan aktivitas trading seiring pasar mendapatkan traksi.

Untuk trading di "Tongatapu 2 By-Election Winner," jelajahi 9 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Tongatapu 2 By-Election Winner" adalah "Sione Harvard Tupouniua" di 42%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 42% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Samiuela Vea" di 41%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Tongatapu 2 By-Election Winner" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.