**United Torah Judaism (UTJ), the Ashkenazi Haredi alliance, draws consistent support from its core ultra-Orthodox voter base ahead of Israel’s October 27 Knesset election.** Recent polls project the party at 7–8 seats, translating to roughly 6–7% of the national vote and aligning with the market’s leading 6–7% outcome. Internal slate adjustments, including leadership changes and candidate refreshes driven partly by draft-law tensions, have not altered its polling trajectory. Haredi parties maintain high turnout and bloc loyalty, with limited crossover to other lists despite broader coalition negotiations and right-wing bloc competition. No major late shifts have emerged in the final weeks before candidate lists closed, keeping trader consensus centered on the narrow 5–7% range.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui6-7% 46%
5-6% 33%
7-8% 11%
<5% 8%
BARU
BARU
Nov 30, 2026
<5%
8%
5-6%
33%
6-7%
46%
7-8%
11%
8%+
4%
6-7% 46%
5-6% 33%
7-8% 11%
<5% 8%
BARU
BARU
Nov 30, 2026
<5%
$182 Vol.
8%
5-6%
$134 Vol.
33%
6-7%
$93 Vol.
46%
7-8%
$94 Vol.
11%
8%+
$285 Vol.
4%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by United Torah Judaism party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by United Torah Judaism's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether United Torah Judaism passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If United Torah Judaism contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Torah Judaism merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).**United Torah Judaism (UTJ), the Ashkenazi Haredi alliance, draws consistent support from its core ultra-Orthodox voter base ahead of Israel’s October 27 Knesset election.** Recent polls project the party at 7–8 seats, translating to roughly 6–7% of the national vote and aligning with the market’s leading 6–7% outcome. Internal slate adjustments, including leadership changes and candidate refreshes driven partly by draft-law tensions, have not altered its polling trajectory. Haredi parties maintain high turnout and bloc loyalty, with limited crossover to other lists despite broader coalition negotiations and right-wing bloc competition. No major late shifts have emerged in the final weeks before candidate lists closed, keeping trader consensus centered on the narrow 5–7% range.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by United Torah Judaism party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by United Torah Judaism's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether United Torah Judaism passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If United Torah Judaism contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Torah Judaism merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by United Torah Judaism party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by United Torah Judaism's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether United Torah Judaism passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If United Torah Judaism contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Torah Judaism merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 8, 2026, 4:18 PM ET
Volume
$788Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 27, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 8, 2026, 4:18 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.bechirot.gov.il/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by United Torah Judaism party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by United Torah Judaism's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether United Torah Judaism passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If United Torah Judaism contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Torah Judaism merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).**United Torah Judaism (UTJ), the Ashkenazi Haredi alliance, draws consistent support from its core ultra-Orthodox voter base ahead of Israel’s October 27 Knesset election.** Recent polls project the party at 7–8 seats, translating to roughly 6–7% of the national vote and aligning with the market’s leading 6–7% outcome. Internal slate adjustments, including leadership changes and candidate refreshes driven partly by draft-law tensions, have not altered its polling trajectory. Haredi parties maintain high turnout and bloc loyalty, with limited crossover to other lists despite broader coalition negotiations and right-wing bloc competition. No major late shifts have emerged in the final weeks before candidate lists closed, keeping trader consensus centered on the narrow 5–7% range.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by United Torah Judaism party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by United Torah Judaism's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether United Torah Judaism passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If United Torah Judaism contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Torah Judaism merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by United Torah Judaism party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by United Torah Judaism's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether United Torah Judaism passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If United Torah Judaism contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Torah Judaism merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
Volume
$788Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 27, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 8, 2026, 4:18 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.bechirot.gov.il/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...**United Torah Judaism (UTJ), the Ashkenazi Haredi alliance, draws consistent support from its core ultra-Orthodox voter base ahead of Israel’s October 27 Knesset election.** Recent polls project the party at 7–8 seats, translating to roughly 6–7% of the national vote and aligning with the market’s leading 6–7% outcome. Internal slate adjustments, including leadership changes and candidate refreshes driven partly by draft-law tensions, have not altered its polling trajectory. Haredi parties maintain high turnout and bloc loyalty, with limited crossover to other lists despite broader coalition negotiations and right-wing bloc competition. No major late shifts have emerged in the final weeks before candidate lists closed, keeping trader consensus centered on the narrow 5–7% range.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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