Unity's commanding position in this market stems from its complete withdrawal from Israel's October 27, 2026, legislative election on September 4. Founded in early August by former Likud figures Gilad Erdan and Yuli Edelstein as a right-wing alternative focused on a broad Zionist government and conscription reforms, the party consistently polled well below the 3.25% electoral threshold. Failed merger talks with Blue and White, combined with voter preference for decisive prime ministerial choices over unity platforms, prompted the exit before candidate lists closed. With no active list submitted, traders assign overwhelming probability to a sub-0.5% share. Late developments such as renewed candidate registrations or procedural reversals remain the primary theoretical risks to this outcome.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui<0.5% 95.2%
0.5-0.75% 1.1%
0.75-1% <1%
1-2% <1%
BARU
BARU
Nov 30, 2026
<0.5%
95%
0.5-0.75%
1%
0.75-1%
1%
1-2%
1%
2%+
<1%
<0.5% 95.2%
0.5-0.75% 1.1%
0.75-1% <1%
1-2% <1%
BARU
BARU
Nov 30, 2026
<0.5%
$596 Vol.
95%
0.5-0.75%
$162 Vol.
1%
0.75-1%
$109 Vol.
1%
1-2%
$112 Vol.
1%
2%+
$223 Vol.
<1%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Unity party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Unity's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Unity passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Unity contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Unity merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).Unity's commanding position in this market stems from its complete withdrawal from Israel's October 27, 2026, legislative election on September 4. Founded in early August by former Likud figures Gilad Erdan and Yuli Edelstein as a right-wing alternative focused on a broad Zionist government and conscription reforms, the party consistently polled well below the 3.25% electoral threshold. Failed merger talks with Blue and White, combined with voter preference for decisive prime ministerial choices over unity platforms, prompted the exit before candidate lists closed. With no active list submitted, traders assign overwhelming probability to a sub-0.5% share. Late developments such as renewed candidate registrations or procedural reversals remain the primary theoretical risks to this outcome.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Unity party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Unity's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Unity passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Unity contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Unity merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Unity party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Unity's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Unity passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Unity contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Unity merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 8, 2026, 4:27 PM ET
Volume
$1,202Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 27, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 8, 2026, 4:27 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.bechirot.gov.il/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Unity party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Unity's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Unity passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Unity contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Unity merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).Unity's commanding position in this market stems from its complete withdrawal from Israel's October 27, 2026, legislative election on September 4. Founded in early August by former Likud figures Gilad Erdan and Yuli Edelstein as a right-wing alternative focused on a broad Zionist government and conscription reforms, the party consistently polled well below the 3.25% electoral threshold. Failed merger talks with Blue and White, combined with voter preference for decisive prime ministerial choices over unity platforms, prompted the exit before candidate lists closed. With no active list submitted, traders assign overwhelming probability to a sub-0.5% share. Late developments such as renewed candidate registrations or procedural reversals remain the primary theoretical risks to this outcome.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Unity party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Unity's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Unity passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Unity contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Unity merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Unity party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Unity's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Unity passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Unity contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Unity merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
Volume
$1,202Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 27, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 8, 2026, 4:27 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.bechirot.gov.il/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Unity's commanding position in this market stems from its complete withdrawal from Israel's October 27, 2026, legislative election on September 4. Founded in early August by former Likud figures Gilad Erdan and Yuli Edelstein as a right-wing alternative focused on a broad Zionist government and conscription reforms, the party consistently polled well below the 3.25% electoral threshold. Failed merger talks with Blue and White, combined with voter preference for decisive prime ministerial choices over unity platforms, prompted the exit before candidate lists closed. With no active list submitted, traders assign overwhelming probability to a sub-0.5% share. Late developments such as renewed candidate registrations or procedural reversals remain the primary theoretical risks to this outcome.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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