JD Vance holds the top position in the 2028 presidential winner market at 20.6% as sitting vice president under a term-limited Republican administration, reflecting his consistent lead in early GOP primary polling averages and name recognition. The Democratic side remains fragmented, with Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez at 13.5% and Jon Ossoff at 11.5% ahead of Gavin Newsom, Kamala Harris, and Pete Buttigieg, as national surveys show no dominant contender and candidates weigh entry after the 2026 midterms. Trader consensus prices a wide-open field more than two years before Iowa caucuses, with Rubio and other Republicans trailing Vance while Democratic probabilities shift on polling fluctuations and potential endorsements. Developments such as midterm results, formal declarations, or shifts in party coalition dynamics could widen gaps ahead of the November 2028 contest.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiPemenang Pemilu Presiden 2028
JD Vance 20.6%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 13.5%
Jon Ossoff 11.5%
Marco Rubio 8.8%
$708,789,041 Vol.
$708,789,041 Vol.

JD Vance
21%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
13%

Jon Ossoff
11%

Marco Rubio
9%

Gavin Newsom
8%

Kamala Harris
4%

Josh Shapiro
3%

Pete Buttigieg
3%

Ron DeSantis
2%

Mark Kelly
2%

Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson
2%

Tucker Carlson
2%

Donald Trump
1%

Andy Beshear
1%

Ro Khanna
1%

Thomas Massie
1%

Wes Moore
1%

James Talarico
1%

Ivanka Trump
1%

JB Pritzker
<1%

Donald Trump Jr.
<1%

Jamie Dimon
<1%

Gretchen Whitmer
<1%

Greg Abbott
<1%

Ted Cruz
<1%

Glenn Youngkin
<1%

Tulsi Gabbard
<1%

Elon Musk
<1%

Michelle Obama
<1%

Elissa Slotkin
<1%

Tom Cotton
<1%

Raphael Warnock
<1%

Stephen Smith
<1%

Nikki Haley
<1%

Tim Walz
<1%

Vivek Ramaswamy
<1%

LeBron James
<1%

Kim Kardashian
<1%

Zohran Mamdani
<1%

Eric Trump
<1%

Pete Hegseth
<1%

Jalen Brunson
<1%

Abigail Spanberger
<1%

Hakeem Jeffries
<1%

Adam Schiff
<1%

Josh Stein
<1%

Alex Padilla
<1%

Candace Owens
<1%

Tim Scott
<1%

Mike Johnson
<1%

Doug Burgum
<1%

John N. Kennedy
<1%

Rick Scott
<1%
JD Vance 20.6%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 13.5%
Jon Ossoff 11.5%
Marco Rubio 8.8%
$708,789,041 Vol.
$708,789,041 Vol.

JD Vance
21%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
13%

Jon Ossoff
11%

Marco Rubio
9%

Gavin Newsom
8%

Kamala Harris
4%

Josh Shapiro
3%

Pete Buttigieg
3%

Ron DeSantis
2%

Mark Kelly
2%

Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson
2%

Tucker Carlson
2%

Donald Trump
1%

Andy Beshear
1%

Ro Khanna
1%

Thomas Massie
1%

Wes Moore
1%

James Talarico
1%

Ivanka Trump
1%

JB Pritzker
<1%

Donald Trump Jr.
<1%

Jamie Dimon
<1%

Gretchen Whitmer
<1%

Greg Abbott
<1%

Ted Cruz
<1%

Glenn Youngkin
<1%

Tulsi Gabbard
<1%

Elon Musk
<1%

Michelle Obama
<1%

Elissa Slotkin
<1%

Tom Cotton
<1%

Raphael Warnock
<1%

Stephen Smith
<1%

Nikki Haley
<1%

Tim Walz
<1%

Vivek Ramaswamy
<1%

LeBron James
<1%

Kim Kardashian
<1%

Zohran Mamdani
<1%

Eric Trump
<1%

Pete Hegseth
<1%

Jalen Brunson
<1%

Abigail Spanberger
<1%

Hakeem Jeffries
<1%

Adam Schiff
<1%

Josh Stein
<1%

Alex Padilla
<1%

Candace Owens
<1%

Tim Scott
<1%

Mike Johnson
<1%

Doug Burgum
<1%

John N. Kennedy
<1%

Rick Scott
<1%
This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
Pasar Dibuka: Jul 11, 2025, 2:44 PM ET
Resolver
0x2f5e3684c...This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
Resolver
0x2f5e3684c...JD Vance holds the top position in the 2028 presidential winner market at 20.6% as sitting vice president under a term-limited Republican administration, reflecting his consistent lead in early GOP primary polling averages and name recognition. The Democratic side remains fragmented, with Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez at 13.5% and Jon Ossoff at 11.5% ahead of Gavin Newsom, Kamala Harris, and Pete Buttigieg, as national surveys show no dominant contender and candidates weigh entry after the 2026 midterms. Trader consensus prices a wide-open field more than two years before Iowa caucuses, with Rubio and other Republicans trailing Vance while Democratic probabilities shift on polling fluctuations and potential endorsements. Developments such as midterm results, formal declarations, or shifts in party coalition dynamics could widen gaps ahead of the November 2028 contest.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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