Recent polling averages place Ra'am at roughly five Knesset seats, consistent with a national vote share in the 4–5% range ahead of the October 27 election. The party is contesting independently after declining a full merger with the Joint List (Hadash–Ta’al–Balad), which polls around seven to eight seats; the two lists have signed a surplus-vote agreement to limit wasted Arab ballots. Ra’am’s list includes a former Yesh Atid MK and continues Mansour Abbas’s strategy of positioning the party for potential coalition participation. Petitions seeking to disqualify Ra’am and other Arab lists were filed by right-wing parties and are under review by the Central Elections Committee, with responses submitted on September 20. These factors—stable polling near the five-seat mark, the surplus pact, and ongoing eligibility proceedings—underpin trader consensus around the 4–4.75% band.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui4-4.75% 34%
4.75-5.5% 19%
3.25-4% 17%
<3.25% 14%
BARU
BARU
Nov 30, 2026
<3.25%
14%
3.25-4%
17%
4-4.75%
34%
4.75-5.5%
28%
5.5%+
13%
4-4.75% 34%
4.75-5.5% 19%
3.25-4% 17%
<3.25% 14%
BARU
BARU
Nov 30, 2026
<3.25%
$344 Vol.
14%
3.25-4%
$293 Vol.
17%
4-4.75%
$1,073 Vol.
34%
4.75-5.5%
$207 Vol.
28%
5.5%+
$191 Vol.
13%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by United Arab List (Ra'am) party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by United Arab List (Ra'am)'s party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether United Arab List (Ra'am) passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If United Arab List (Ra'am) contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Arab List (Ra'am) merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).Recent polling averages place Ra'am at roughly five Knesset seats, consistent with a national vote share in the 4–5% range ahead of the October 27 election. The party is contesting independently after declining a full merger with the Joint List (Hadash–Ta’al–Balad), which polls around seven to eight seats; the two lists have signed a surplus-vote agreement to limit wasted Arab ballots. Ra’am’s list includes a former Yesh Atid MK and continues Mansour Abbas’s strategy of positioning the party for potential coalition participation. Petitions seeking to disqualify Ra’am and other Arab lists were filed by right-wing parties and are under review by the Central Elections Committee, with responses submitted on September 20. These factors—stable polling near the five-seat mark, the surplus pact, and ongoing eligibility proceedings—underpin trader consensus around the 4–4.75% band.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by United Arab List (Ra'am) party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by United Arab List (Ra'am)'s party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether United Arab List (Ra'am) passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If United Arab List (Ra'am) contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Arab List (Ra'am) merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by United Arab List (Ra'am) party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by United Arab List (Ra'am)'s party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether United Arab List (Ra'am) passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If United Arab List (Ra'am) contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Arab List (Ra'am) merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 8, 2026, 4:19 PM ET
Volume
$2,109Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 27, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 8, 2026, 4:19 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.bechirot.gov.il/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by United Arab List (Ra'am) party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by United Arab List (Ra'am)'s party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether United Arab List (Ra'am) passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If United Arab List (Ra'am) contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Arab List (Ra'am) merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).Recent polling averages place Ra'am at roughly five Knesset seats, consistent with a national vote share in the 4–5% range ahead of the October 27 election. The party is contesting independently after declining a full merger with the Joint List (Hadash–Ta’al–Balad), which polls around seven to eight seats; the two lists have signed a surplus-vote agreement to limit wasted Arab ballots. Ra’am’s list includes a former Yesh Atid MK and continues Mansour Abbas’s strategy of positioning the party for potential coalition participation. Petitions seeking to disqualify Ra’am and other Arab lists were filed by right-wing parties and are under review by the Central Elections Committee, with responses submitted on September 20. These factors—stable polling near the five-seat mark, the surplus pact, and ongoing eligibility proceedings—underpin trader consensus around the 4–4.75% band.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by United Arab List (Ra'am) party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by United Arab List (Ra'am)'s party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether United Arab List (Ra'am) passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If United Arab List (Ra'am) contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Arab List (Ra'am) merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by United Arab List (Ra'am) party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by United Arab List (Ra'am)'s party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether United Arab List (Ra'am) passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If United Arab List (Ra'am) contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Arab List (Ra'am) merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
Volume
$2,109Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 27, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 8, 2026, 4:19 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.bechirot.gov.il/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling averages place Ra'am at roughly five Knesset seats, consistent with a national vote share in the 4–5% range ahead of the October 27 election. The party is contesting independently after declining a full merger with the Joint List (Hadash–Ta’al–Balad), which polls around seven to eight seats; the two lists have signed a surplus-vote agreement to limit wasted Arab ballots. Ra’am’s list includes a former Yesh Atid MK and continues Mansour Abbas’s strategy of positioning the party for potential coalition participation. Petitions seeking to disqualify Ra’am and other Arab lists were filed by right-wing parties and are under review by the Central Elections Committee, with responses submitted on September 20. These factors—stable polling near the five-seat mark, the surplus pact, and ongoing eligibility proceedings—underpin trader consensus around the 4–4.75% band.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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