**Recent polling averages place the Parti Libéral du Québec (PLQ) at 21–24% support in a fragmented five-party race ahead of the October 5 election, with the PQ leading at 28–29%, the CAQ at 22–24%, the PCQ rising to 16–18%, and QS near 10–12%.** Seat models from 338Canada and similar aggregators project the PLQ around 31 seats (range 26–38), reflecting its concentration in Montreal and Outaouais ridings offset by weaker performance elsewhere amid a new 127-seat map. The PLQ’s modest rebound in late-campaign surveys has been tempered by PCQ gains and CAQ regional strength, producing many three-way contests that widen uncertainty in final seat totals. With two weeks remaining, advance polls, the final debates, and any late shifts in undecided voters or regional turnout could narrow or widen the PLQ’s haul within the 28–35 range that currently dominates trader pricing.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui28-31 35%
<28 27%
32-35 25%
36-39 6.3%
$25,053 Vol.
$25,053 Vol.
Oct 5, 2026
<28
27%
28-31
35%
32-35
25%
36-39
6%
40-43
2%
44+
1%
28-31 35%
<28 27%
32-35 25%
36-39 6.3%
$25,053 Vol.
$25,053 Vol.
Oct 5, 2026
<28
$4,646 Vol.
27%
28-31
$5,039 Vol.
35%
32-35
$7,007 Vol.
25%
36-39
$5,508 Vol.
6%
40-43
$1,501 Vol.
2%
44+
$1,351 Vol.
1%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti libéral du Québec (PLQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).**Recent polling averages place the Parti Libéral du Québec (PLQ) at 21–24% support in a fragmented five-party race ahead of the October 5 election, with the PQ leading at 28–29%, the CAQ at 22–24%, the PCQ rising to 16–18%, and QS near 10–12%.** Seat models from 338Canada and similar aggregators project the PLQ around 31 seats (range 26–38), reflecting its concentration in Montreal and Outaouais ridings offset by weaker performance elsewhere amid a new 127-seat map. The PLQ’s modest rebound in late-campaign surveys has been tempered by PCQ gains and CAQ regional strength, producing many three-way contests that widen uncertainty in final seat totals. With two weeks remaining, advance polls, the final debates, and any late shifts in undecided voters or regional turnout could narrow or widen the PLQ’s haul within the 28–35 range that currently dominates trader pricing.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti libéral du Québec (PLQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti libéral du Québec (PLQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 27, 2026, 8:15 AM ET
Volume
$25,053Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 5, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 27, 2026, 8:15 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.electionsquebec.qc.caResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti libéral du Québec (PLQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).**Recent polling averages place the Parti Libéral du Québec (PLQ) at 21–24% support in a fragmented five-party race ahead of the October 5 election, with the PQ leading at 28–29%, the CAQ at 22–24%, the PCQ rising to 16–18%, and QS near 10–12%.** Seat models from 338Canada and similar aggregators project the PLQ around 31 seats (range 26–38), reflecting its concentration in Montreal and Outaouais ridings offset by weaker performance elsewhere amid a new 127-seat map. The PLQ’s modest rebound in late-campaign surveys has been tempered by PCQ gains and CAQ regional strength, producing many three-way contests that widen uncertainty in final seat totals. With two weeks remaining, advance polls, the final debates, and any late shifts in undecided voters or regional turnout could narrow or widen the PLQ’s haul within the 28–35 range that currently dominates trader pricing.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti libéral du Québec (PLQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti libéral du Québec (PLQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Volume
$25,053Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 5, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 27, 2026, 8:15 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.electionsquebec.qc.caResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Recent polling averages place the Parti Libéral du Québec (PLQ) at 21–24% support in a fragmented five-party race ahead of the October 5 election, with the PQ leading at 28–29%, the CAQ at 22–24%, the PCQ rising to 16–18%, and QS near 10–12%.** Seat models from 338Canada and similar aggregators project the PLQ around 31 seats (range 26–38), reflecting its concentration in Montreal and Outaouais ridings offset by weaker performance elsewhere amid a new 127-seat map. The PLQ’s modest rebound in late-campaign surveys has been tempered by PCQ gains and CAQ regional strength, producing many three-way contests that widen uncertainty in final seat totals. With two weeks remaining, advance polls, the final debates, and any late shifts in undecided voters or regional turnout could narrow or widen the PLQ’s haul within the 28–35 range that currently dominates trader pricing.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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