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icon for Élection au Sénat du Pernambouc : 2e place
Politique·Brésil

Élection au Sénat du Pernambouc : 2e place

icon for Élection au Sénat du Pernambouc : 2e place
Politique·Brésil

Élection au Sénat du Pernambouc : 2e place

Humberto Costa 46%

Mendonça Filho 39%

Marília Arraes 18.9%

Eduardo da Fonte 4.0%

Polymarket

$33,906 Vol.

Humberto Costa 46%

Mendonça Filho 39%

Marília Arraes 18.9%

Eduardo da Fonte 4.0%

Polymarket

$33,906 Vol.

icon for Humberto Costa

Humberto Costa

$10,817 Vol.

46%

icon for Mendonça Filho

Mendonça Filho

$9,361 Vol.

39%

icon for Marília Arraes

Marília Arraes

$5,925 Vol.

19%

icon for Eduardo da Fonte

Eduardo da Fonte

$1,727 Vol.

4%

icon for Túlio Gadêlha

Túlio Gadêlha

$1,483 Vol.

3%

icon for Mariano Macedo

Mariano Macedo

$806 Vol.

<1%

icon for Samuel Timoteo

Samuel Timoteo

$834 Vol.

<1%

icon for Pasteur Gilvan Costa

Pasteur Gilvan Costa

$909 Vol.

<1%

icon for Carlos Sant'Anna

Carlos Sant'Anna

$494 Vol.

<1%

icon for Gorett Bitu

Gorett Bitu

$629 Vol.

<1%

icon for Mailson da Silva Neto

Mailson da Silva Neto

$433 Vol.

<1%

icon for Paulo Rubem Santiago

Paulo Rubem Santiago

$490 Vol.

<1%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from institutes including Datafolha, Quaest, and Real Time Big Data shows Marília Arraes (PDT) holding a consistent lead for one of Pernambuco’s two Senate seats ahead of the October 4 election, leaving a tight contest for second place between incumbent Humberto Costa (PT) and Mendonça Filho (PL). These surveys place the pair within a few points of each other in combined-vote scenarios, often inside margins of error, with Eduardo da Fonte (PP) and Túlio Gadêlha (PSD) further back. High shares of undecided voters and blank or null ballots continue to sustain volatility in second-place positioning. Trader pricing reflects this polling closeness and the absence of decisive late shifts, while any final-week endorsements, turnout patterns among key regional blocs, or official ballot rulings could still alter the order.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$33,906
Date de fin
4 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 17, 2026, 6:12 AM ET

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from institutes including Datafolha, Quaest, and Real Time Big Data shows Marília Arraes (PDT) holding a consistent lead for one of Pernambuco’s two Senate seats ahead of the October 4 election, leaving a tight contest for second place between incumbent Humberto Costa (PT) and Mendonça Filho (PL). These surveys place the pair within a few points of each other in combined-vote scenarios, often inside margins of error, with Eduardo da Fonte (PP) and Túlio Gadêlha (PSD) further back. High shares of undecided voters and blank or null ballots continue to sustain volatility in second-place positioning. Trader pricing reflects this polling closeness and the absence of decisive late shifts, while any final-week endorsements, turnout patterns among key regional blocs, or official ballot rulings could still alter the order.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$33,906
Date de fin
4 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 17, 2026, 6:12 AM ET

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...

Connexes

icon for Will Marília Arraes win the most votes in the 2026 Pernambuco Senate election?

Will Marília Arraes win the most votes in the 2026 Pernambuco Senate election?

75%
icon for Veneziano remportera-t-il le deuxième plus grand nombre de voix lors de l'élection sénatoriale de Paraíba en 2026 ?

Veneziano remportera-t-il le deuxième plus grand nombre de voix lors de l'élection sénatoriale de Paraíba en 2026 ?

60%
Oui
icon for Bia Kicis obtiendra-t-elle le deuxième plus grand nombre de voix lors de l'élection sénatoriale du District fédéral de 2026 ?

Bia Kicis obtiendra-t-elle le deuxième plus grand nombre de voix lors de l'élection sénatoriale du District fédéral de 2026 ?

56%
Oui

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Questions fréquentes

« Élection au Sénat du Pernambouc : 2e place » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 12 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Humberto Costa » à 46%, suivi de « Mendonça Filho » à 39%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 46¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 46% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Élection au Sénat du Pernambouc : 2e place » a généré $33.9K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Aug 17, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Élection au Sénat du Pernambouc : 2e place », parcourez les 12 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Élection au Sénat du Pernambouc : 2e place » est « Humberto Costa » à 46%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 46% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Mendonça Filho » à 39%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Élection au Sénat du Pernambouc : 2e place » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.