Mark Carney’s Liberal government holds a slim majority in the House of Commons following the 2025 federal election and subsequent by-elections and floor crossings that secured its position in 2026. Recent special elections in August and September 2026 reinforced this standing, with Liberals winning all three contested seats amid ongoing trade tensions with the United States. The fixed-date provision of the Canada Elections Act sets the next election no later than October 15, 2029, though the prime minister retains the authority to advise dissolution earlier. With no immediate threat of a confidence defeat and polling showing the Liberals ahead of the Conservatives, the current parliamentary calendar and lack of acute political pressure point to a later rather than earlier contest. Quebec’s provincial election on October 5, 2026, and additional federal by-elections remain the nearest scheduled votes.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour$94,751 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
31 décembre 2026
7%
$94,751 Vol.
31 décembre 2026
$3,094 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 2029, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2026 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2027, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 2029, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2025 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2026, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Mark Carney’s Liberal government holds a slim majority in the House of Commons following the 2025 federal election and subsequent by-elections and floor crossings that secured its position in 2026. Recent special elections in August and September 2026 reinforced this standing, with Liberals winning all three contested seats amid ongoing trade tensions with the United States. The fixed-date provision of the Canada Elections Act sets the next election no later than October 15, 2029, though the prime minister retains the authority to advise dissolution earlier. With no immediate threat of a confidence defeat and polling showing the Liberals ahead of the Conservatives, the current parliamentary calendar and lack of acute political pressure point to a later rather than earlier contest. Quebec’s provincial election on October 5, 2026, and additional federal by-elections remain the nearest scheduled votes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 2029, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2026 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2027, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2026 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2027, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Marché ouvert : Jun 28, 2026, 4:38 PM ET
Volume
$94,751Date de fin
1 janv. 2027Marché ouvert
Jun 28, 2026, 4:38 PM ETRésolveur
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 2029, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2026 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2027, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 2029, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2025 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2026, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Mark Carney’s Liberal government holds a slim majority in the House of Commons following the 2025 federal election and subsequent by-elections and floor crossings that secured its position in 2026. Recent special elections in August and September 2026 reinforced this standing, with Liberals winning all three contested seats amid ongoing trade tensions with the United States. The fixed-date provision of the Canada Elections Act sets the next election no later than October 15, 2029, though the prime minister retains the authority to advise dissolution earlier. With no immediate threat of a confidence defeat and polling showing the Liberals ahead of the Conservatives, the current parliamentary calendar and lack of acute political pressure point to a later rather than earlier contest. Quebec’s provincial election on October 5, 2026, and additional federal by-elections remain the nearest scheduled votes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 2029, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2026 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2027, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2026 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2027, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$94,751Date de fin
1 janv. 2027Marché ouvert
Jun 28, 2026, 4:38 PM ETRésolveur
0x65070BE91...Mark Carney’s Liberal government holds a slim majority in the House of Commons following the 2025 federal election and subsequent by-elections and floor crossings that secured its position in 2026. Recent special elections in August and September 2026 reinforced this standing, with Liberals winning all three contested seats amid ongoing trade tensions with the United States. The fixed-date provision of the Canada Elections Act sets the next election no later than October 15, 2029, though the prime minister retains the authority to advise dissolution earlier. With no immediate threat of a confidence defeat and polling showing the Liberals ahead of the Conservatives, the current parliamentary calendar and lack of acute political pressure point to a later rather than earlier contest. Quebec’s provincial election on October 5, 2026, and additional federal by-elections remain the nearest scheduled votes.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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