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icon for Vanier-Les Rivières Quebec National Assembly Election Winner
Monde·Canada

Vanier-Les Rivières Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

icon for Vanier-Les Rivières Quebec National Assembly Election Winner
Monde·Canada

Vanier-Les Rivières Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

Patrick Paquet 32%

Stéphanie Martin 21%

Françoise Faverjon-Fortin 19%

Charles Hudon 1.1%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

Patrick Paquet 32%

Stéphanie Martin 21%

Françoise Faverjon-Fortin 19%

Charles Hudon 1.1%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU
icon for Patrick Paquet

Patrick Paquet

$4,429 Vol.

47%

icon for Stéphanie Martin

Stéphanie Martin

$56 Vol.

21%

icon for Françoise Faverjon-Fortin

Françoise Faverjon-Fortin

$63 Vol.

19%

icon for Charles Hudon

Charles Hudon

$883 Vol.

1%

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Vanier-Les Rivières Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).The retirement of the long-serving CAQ incumbent has opened Vanier-Les Rivières to a competitive four-way contest ahead of the October 5 Quebec general election. Patrick Paquet’s local municipal record and the Conservative Party’s regional momentum give him a narrow edge in recent vote projections, while Françoise Faverjon-Fortin retains residual CAQ support and Stéphanie Martin benefits from Parti Québécois gains in the Capitale-Nationale area. Charles Hudon trails as the Liberal candidate. With vote shares clustered in the mid-20s and nomination deadlines plus advance polls still ahead, small shifts in turnout among fiscal conservatives, sovereignty-leaning voters, or CAQ holdouts could widen or close the gap before official results from Élections Québec determine the winner.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Vanier-Les Rivières Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Vanier-Les Rivières Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Volume
$5,431
Date de fin
5 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 31, 2026, 3:52 PM ET

Source de résolution

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Vanier-Les Rivières Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).The retirement of the long-serving CAQ incumbent has opened Vanier-Les Rivières to a competitive four-way contest ahead of the October 5 Quebec general election. Patrick Paquet’s local municipal record and the Conservative Party’s regional momentum give him a narrow edge in recent vote projections, while Françoise Faverjon-Fortin retains residual CAQ support and Stéphanie Martin benefits from Parti Québécois gains in the Capitale-Nationale area. Charles Hudon trails as the Liberal candidate. With vote shares clustered in the mid-20s and nomination deadlines plus advance polls still ahead, small shifts in turnout among fiscal conservatives, sovereignty-leaning voters, or CAQ holdouts could widen or close the gap before official results from Élections Québec determine the winner.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Vanier-Les Rivières Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Vanier-Les Rivières Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Volume
$5,431
Date de fin
5 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 31, 2026, 3:52 PM ET

Source de résolution

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...

Connexes

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Will Guillaume Rousseau win the next Richmond Quebec National Assembly election?

65%
icon for Will Claude Reid win the next Beauharnois Quebec National Assembly election?

Will Claude Reid win the next Beauharnois Quebec National Assembly election?

65%
icon for Sol Zanetti remportera-t-il la prochaine élection de l'Assemblée nationale du Québec dans Jean-Lesage ?

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61%
Oui

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Vanier-Les Rivières Quebec National Assembly Election Winner » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 4 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Patrick Paquet » à 47%, suivi de « Stéphanie Martin » à 21%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 47¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 47% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« Vanier-Les Rivières Quebec National Assembly Election Winner » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Aug 31, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « Vanier-Les Rivières Quebec National Assembly Election Winner », parcourez les 4 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Vanier-Les Rivières Quebec National Assembly Election Winner » est « Patrick Paquet » à 47%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 47% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Stéphanie Martin » à 21%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Vanier-Les Rivières Quebec National Assembly Election Winner » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.