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icon for Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne Quebec National Assembly Election Winner
Monde·Canada

Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

icon for Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne Quebec National Assembly Election Winner
Monde·Canada

Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

Guillaume Cliche-Rivard 56%

Benoit Clermont 35%

Anthony Lavoie 5.5%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

Guillaume Cliche-Rivard 56%

Benoit Clermont 35%

Anthony Lavoie 5.5%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU
icon for Guillaume Cliche-Rivard

Guillaume Cliche-Rivard

$2,721 Vol.

57%

icon for Benoit Clermont

Benoit Clermont

$1,338 Vol.

35%

icon for Anthony Lavoie

Anthony Lavoie

$1,862 Vol.

5%

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).The 2026 Quebec general election features a competitive contest in the urban Montreal riding of Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne, where incumbent Québec solidaire MNA Guillaume Cliche-Rivard holds a narrow edge in trader pricing over Liberal challenger Benoit Clermont. Cliche-Rivard captured the seat in the 2023 by-election after decades of Liberal control, capitalizing on local priorities around housing access, homelessness services, and immigration policy. Clermont, a media producer and long-time resident, brings fresh Liberal organization to the race following the writ drop in late August. Anthony Lavoie of the Coalition Avenir Québec trails further back. Projections from multiple models treat the outcome as a near toss-up, with limited separation driven by incumbency visibility, ground-level campaigning, and voter turnout patterns in this left-leaning district. Upcoming candidate debates and any late shifts in provincial party momentum before October 5 could widen gaps.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Volume
$5,921
Date de fin
5 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 31, 2026, 3:52 PM ET

Source de résolution

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).The 2026 Quebec general election features a competitive contest in the urban Montreal riding of Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne, where incumbent Québec solidaire MNA Guillaume Cliche-Rivard holds a narrow edge in trader pricing over Liberal challenger Benoit Clermont. Cliche-Rivard captured the seat in the 2023 by-election after decades of Liberal control, capitalizing on local priorities around housing access, homelessness services, and immigration policy. Clermont, a media producer and long-time resident, brings fresh Liberal organization to the race following the writ drop in late August. Anthony Lavoie of the Coalition Avenir Québec trails further back. Projections from multiple models treat the outcome as a near toss-up, with limited separation driven by incumbency visibility, ground-level campaigning, and voter turnout patterns in this left-leaning district. Upcoming candidate debates and any late shifts in provincial party momentum before October 5 could widen gaps.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Volume
$5,921
Date de fin
5 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 31, 2026, 3:52 PM ET

Source de résolution

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...

Connexes

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Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne Quebec National Assembly Election Winner » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 3 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Guillaume Cliche-Rivard » à 57%, suivi de « Benoit Clermont » à 35%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 57¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 57% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne Quebec National Assembly Election Winner » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Aug 31, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne Quebec National Assembly Election Winner », parcourez les 3 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne Quebec National Assembly Election Winner » est « Guillaume Cliche-Rivard » à 57%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 57% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Benoit Clermont » à 35%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne Quebec National Assembly Election Winner » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.