Recent polling in the Quebec election campaign, which opened in late August for the October 5 vote, shows the Parti Québécois holding a steady lead near 29 percent while the Coalition Avenir Québec has climbed into second place at 23–24 percent after gains among francophone voters. This shift has positioned the CAQ ahead of the Quebec Liberal Party, which has fallen to the low 20s following earlier declines. Key campaign dynamics include debate over a potential sovereignty referendum, U.S. tariffs, health-care restructuring, and regional vote splits that favor the CAQ in suburban and non-Montreal areas. Traders’ consensus reflects these vote-intention trends and seat-projection models, which indicate the CAQ is best placed among the trailing parties to finish second in seat count behind the PQ.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourCAQ 60%
PLQ 17%
PQ 17%
PVQ <1%
$16,981 Vol.
$16,981 Vol.
4 oct. 2026
CAQ
60%
PLQ
17%
PQ
17%
PVQ
1%
QS
<1%
PCQ
<1%
CAQ 60%
PLQ 17%
PQ 17%
PVQ <1%
$16,981 Vol.
$16,981 Vol.
4 oct. 2026
CAQ
$4,574 Vol.
60%
PLQ
$4,667 Vol.
17%
PQ
$4,112 Vol.
17%
PVQ
$1,226 Vol.
1%
QS
$1,498 Vol.
<1%
PCQ
$904 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polling in the Quebec election campaign, which opened in late August for the October 5 vote, shows the Parti Québécois holding a steady lead near 29 percent while the Coalition Avenir Québec has climbed into second place at 23–24 percent after gains among francophone voters. This shift has positioned the CAQ ahead of the Quebec Liberal Party, which has fallen to the low 20s following earlier declines. Key campaign dynamics include debate over a potential sovereignty referendum, U.S. tariffs, health-care restructuring, and regional vote splits that favor the CAQ in suburban and non-Montreal areas. Traders’ consensus reflects these vote-intention trends and seat-projection models, which indicate the CAQ is best placed among the trailing parties to finish second in seat count behind the PQ.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Marché ouvert : Aug 27, 2026, 7:30 AM ET
Volume
$16,981Date de fin
5 oct. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 27, 2026, 7:30 AM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polling in the Quebec election campaign, which opened in late August for the October 5 vote, shows the Parti Québécois holding a steady lead near 29 percent while the Coalition Avenir Québec has climbed into second place at 23–24 percent after gains among francophone voters. This shift has positioned the CAQ ahead of the Quebec Liberal Party, which has fallen to the low 20s following earlier declines. Key campaign dynamics include debate over a potential sovereignty referendum, U.S. tariffs, health-care restructuring, and regional vote splits that favor the CAQ in suburban and non-Montreal areas. Traders’ consensus reflects these vote-intention trends and seat-projection models, which indicate the CAQ is best placed among the trailing parties to finish second in seat count behind the PQ.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Volume
$16,981Date de fin
5 oct. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 27, 2026, 7:30 AM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling in the Quebec election campaign, which opened in late August for the October 5 vote, shows the Parti Québécois holding a steady lead near 29 percent while the Coalition Avenir Québec has climbed into second place at 23–24 percent after gains among francophone voters. This shift has positioned the CAQ ahead of the Quebec Liberal Party, which has fallen to the low 20s following earlier declines. Key campaign dynamics include debate over a potential sovereignty referendum, U.S. tariffs, health-care restructuring, and regional vote splits that favor the CAQ in suburban and non-Montreal areas. Traders’ consensus reflects these vote-intention trends and seat-projection models, which indicate the CAQ is best placed among the trailing parties to finish second in seat count behind the PQ.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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