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icon for Vainqueur de l'élection partielle à Abbotsford-Mission
Monde·Canada

Vainqueur de l'élection partielle à Abbotsford-Mission

icon for Vainqueur de l'élection partielle à Abbotsford-Mission
Monde·Canada

Vainqueur de l'élection partielle à Abbotsford-Mission

Kerry-Lynne Findlay 76%

Pam Alexis 20%

Lakhwinder Jhaj 1.9%

Polymarket

$11,029 Vol.

Kerry-Lynne Findlay 76%

Pam Alexis 20%

Lakhwinder Jhaj 1.9%

Polymarket

$11,029 Vol.

icon for Kerry-Lynne Findlay

Kerry-Lynne Findlay

$10,173 Vol.

76%

icon for Pam Alexis

Pam Alexis

$417 Vol.

20%

icon for Lakhwinder Jhaj

Lakhwinder Jhaj

$439 Vol.

2%

A by-election in the British Columbia electoral district of Abbotsford-Mission is scheduled to take place on September 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election to the Legislative Assembly of British Columbia. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Elections BC (https://elections.bc.ca/).Kerry-Lynne Findlay, leader of the BC Conservative Party, holds the strongest position in the Abbotsford-Mission by-election due to the riding’s Conservative tilt from the 2024 provincial election and the strategic resignation of incumbent MLA Reann Gasper to create an open seat for her candidacy. The by-election, called for September 26, 2026, features five candidates, with former NDP cabinet minister Pam Alexis as the primary challenger after losing the seat in 2024. Minor-party contenders from the Greens, CentreBC, and Libertarians register limited support. Trader pricing reflects the short campaign timeline, Findlay’s party infrastructure and name recognition as leader, and the absence of major late developments that would shift the competitive landscape before advance voting begins September 18.

A by-election in the British Columbia electoral district of Abbotsford-Mission is scheduled to take place on September 26, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election to the Legislative Assembly of British Columbia.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Elections BC (https://elections.bc.ca/).A by-election in the British Columbia electoral district of Abbotsford-Mission is scheduled to take place on September 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election to the Legislative Assembly of British Columbia. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Elections BC (https://elections.bc.ca/).
Volume
$11,029
Date de fin
26 sept. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 31, 2026, 3:02 PM ET

Source de résolution

https://elections.bc.ca/

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...
A by-election in the British Columbia electoral district of Abbotsford-Mission is scheduled to take place on September 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election to the Legislative Assembly of British Columbia. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Elections BC (https://elections.bc.ca/).Kerry-Lynne Findlay, leader of the BC Conservative Party, holds the strongest position in the Abbotsford-Mission by-election due to the riding’s Conservative tilt from the 2024 provincial election and the strategic resignation of incumbent MLA Reann Gasper to create an open seat for her candidacy. The by-election, called for September 26, 2026, features five candidates, with former NDP cabinet minister Pam Alexis as the primary challenger after losing the seat in 2024. Minor-party contenders from the Greens, CentreBC, and Libertarians register limited support. Trader pricing reflects the short campaign timeline, Findlay’s party infrastructure and name recognition as leader, and the absence of major late developments that would shift the competitive landscape before advance voting begins September 18.

A by-election in the British Columbia electoral district of Abbotsford-Mission is scheduled to take place on September 26, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election to the Legislative Assembly of British Columbia.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Elections BC (https://elections.bc.ca/).A by-election in the British Columbia electoral district of Abbotsford-Mission is scheduled to take place on September 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election to the Legislative Assembly of British Columbia. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Elections BC (https://elections.bc.ca/).
Volume
$11,029
Date de fin
26 sept. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 31, 2026, 3:02 PM ET

Source de résolution

https://elections.bc.ca/

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...

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Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Vainqueur de l'élection partielle à Abbotsford-Mission » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 3 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Kerry-Lynne Findlay » à 76%, suivi de « Pam Alexis » à 20%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 76¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 76% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Vainqueur de l'élection partielle à Abbotsford-Mission » a généré $11K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Aug 31, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Vainqueur de l'élection partielle à Abbotsford-Mission », parcourez les 3 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Vainqueur de l'élection partielle à Abbotsford-Mission » est « Kerry-Lynne Findlay » à 76%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 76% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Pam Alexis » à 20%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Vainqueur de l'élection partielle à Abbotsford-Mission » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.