Republican control of the House through the end of 2026 creates the primary structural barrier to impeachment proceedings against President Trump. With Republicans holding the majority, introduced resolutions such as H.Res. 1486 remain referred to committee without floor action as of early September. The 2026 midterm elections, scheduled for November, will determine the next Congress that convenes in January 2027, leaving insufficient time for a chamber flip to enable a vote before year-end. Trader consensus at 98.3% on "No" aligns with this timeline and historical patterns where the majority party controls impeachment agenda. Late-session developments, including unexpected bipartisan support or procedural maneuvers, represent the narrow paths that could still alter the outcome before December 31.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated2% chance
$1,020,443 Vol.
$1,020,443 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
Earn 3.25%
2% chance
$1,020,443 Vol.
$1,020,443 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
Earn 3.25%
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, between July 24, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Republican control of the House through the end of 2026 creates the primary structural barrier to impeachment proceedings against President Trump. With Republicans holding the majority, introduced resolutions such as H.Res. 1486 remain referred to committee without floor action as of early September. The 2026 midterm elections, scheduled for November, will determine the next Congress that convenes in January 2027, leaving insufficient time for a chamber flip to enable a vote before year-end. Trader consensus at 98.3% on "No" aligns with this timeline and historical patterns where the majority party controls impeachment agenda. Late-session developments, including unexpected bipartisan support or procedural maneuvers, represent the narrow paths that could still alter the outcome before December 31.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, between July 24, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Market Opened: Jul 25, 2025, 2:47 PM ET
Volume
$1,020,443End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Jul 25, 2025, 2:47 PM ETResolver
0x157Ce2d67...This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, between July 24, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Republican control of the House through the end of 2026 creates the primary structural barrier to impeachment proceedings against President Trump. With Republicans holding the majority, introduced resolutions such as H.Res. 1486 remain referred to committee without floor action as of early September. The 2026 midterm elections, scheduled for November, will determine the next Congress that convenes in January 2027, leaving insufficient time for a chamber flip to enable a vote before year-end. Trader consensus at 98.3% on "No" aligns with this timeline and historical patterns where the majority party controls impeachment agenda. Late-session developments, including unexpected bipartisan support or procedural maneuvers, represent the narrow paths that could still alter the outcome before December 31.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, between July 24, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Volume
$1,020,443End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Jul 25, 2025, 2:47 PM ETResolver
0x157Ce2d67...Republican control of the House through the end of 2026 creates the primary structural barrier to impeachment proceedings against President Trump. With Republicans holding the majority, introduced resolutions such as H.Res. 1486 remain referred to committee without floor action as of early September. The 2026 midterm elections, scheduled for November, will determine the next Congress that convenes in January 2027, leaving insufficient time for a chamber flip to enable a vote before year-end. Trader consensus at 98.3% on "No" aligns with this timeline and historical patterns where the majority party controls impeachment agenda. Late-session developments, including unexpected bipartisan support or procedural maneuvers, represent the narrow paths that could still alter the outcome before December 31.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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