Traders assign China the leading 56% probability as the venue for the next Trump-Putin meeting, reflecting expectations that Beijing could serve as a neutral third-party site amid strained US-Russia ties and ongoing Ukraine-related diplomacy. The 35% chance of no meeting by December 31 underscores calendar constraints, election cycles, and the absence of confirmed bilateral commitments. Minimal odds for Russia, the United States, or European locations highlight preferences for locations outside direct influence of either leader, consistent with historical patterns for high-stakes summits. Low probabilities for Gulf states or Turkey point to limited recent signals of preparatory talks, while broader uncertainty around escalation or de-escalation in active conflicts keeps alternative sites subdued.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedWhere will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?
Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?
China 56%
No meeting by December 31 35%
Gulf country 2.6%
Russia 2.1%
$975,012 Vol.
$975,012 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
China
56%
No meeting by December 31
35%
Gulf country
3%
Russia
2%
United States
2%
Turkey
1%
Other
1%
Switzerland
1%
Belarus
1%
Japan
1%
Finland
<1%
South Korea
<1%
Other EU country
<1%
Australia
<1%
Ukraine
<1%
China 56%
No meeting by December 31 35%
Gulf country 2.6%
Russia 2.1%
$975,012 Vol.
$975,012 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
China
$131,225 Vol.
56%
No meeting by December 31
$228,071 Vol.
35%
Gulf country
$41,347 Vol.
3%
Russia
$93,912 Vol.
2%
United States
$51,997 Vol.
2%
Turkey
$44,935 Vol.
1%
Other
$42,935 Vol.
1%
Switzerland
$46,210 Vol.
1%
Belarus
$44,778 Vol.
1%
Japan
$41,624 Vol.
1%
Finland
$41,445 Vol.
<1%
South Korea
$46,591 Vol.
<1%
Other EU country
$43,826 Vol.
<1%
Australia
$45,810 Vol.
<1%
Ukraine
$30,306 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Traders assign China the leading 56% probability as the venue for the next Trump-Putin meeting, reflecting expectations that Beijing could serve as a neutral third-party site amid strained US-Russia ties and ongoing Ukraine-related diplomacy. The 35% chance of no meeting by December 31 underscores calendar constraints, election cycles, and the absence of confirmed bilateral commitments. Minimal odds for Russia, the United States, or European locations highlight preferences for locations outside direct influence of either leader, consistent with historical patterns for high-stakes summits. Low probabilities for Gulf states or Turkey point to limited recent signals of preparatory talks, while broader uncertainty around escalation or de-escalation in active conflicts keeps alternative sites subdued.
This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: May 26, 2026, 6:45 PM ET
Volume
$975,012End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
May 26, 2026, 6:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Traders assign China the leading 56% probability as the venue for the next Trump-Putin meeting, reflecting expectations that Beijing could serve as a neutral third-party site amid strained US-Russia ties and ongoing Ukraine-related diplomacy. The 35% chance of no meeting by December 31 underscores calendar constraints, election cycles, and the absence of confirmed bilateral commitments. Minimal odds for Russia, the United States, or European locations highlight preferences for locations outside direct influence of either leader, consistent with historical patterns for high-stakes summits. Low probabilities for Gulf states or Turkey point to limited recent signals of preparatory talks, while broader uncertainty around escalation or de-escalation in active conflicts keeps alternative sites subdued.
This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$975,012End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
May 26, 2026, 6:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders assign China the leading 56% probability as the venue for the next Trump-Putin meeting, reflecting expectations that Beijing could serve as a neutral third-party site amid strained US-Russia ties and ongoing Ukraine-related diplomacy. The 35% chance of no meeting by December 31 underscores calendar constraints, election cycles, and the absence of confirmed bilateral commitments. Minimal odds for Russia, the United States, or European locations highlight preferences for locations outside direct influence of either leader, consistent with historical patterns for high-stakes summits. Low probabilities for Gulf states or Turkey point to limited recent signals of preparatory talks, while broader uncertainty around escalation or de-escalation in active conflicts keeps alternative sites subdued.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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