Trump’s established pattern of issuing direct personal criticisms through social media posts, press interactions, and public remarks continues to drive trader consensus on these daily markets. As president in 2026, he has repeatedly targeted journalists, members of Congress, and foreign policy figures amid tensions over Iran, trade, and domestic legislation. Recent examples include pointed attacks on reporters Kaitlan Collins and Maggie Haberman as well as Rep. Ilhan Omar. The upcoming Republican midterm convention keynote in Dallas on September 10 offers another high-visibility platform where similar language has historically appeared. Markets price most dates at or near 100% Yes because qualifying statements have occurred on the vast majority of tracked days, with resolution based on verifiable public records rather than private comments or paraphrases.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$35,951 Vol.
September 3
69%
September 9
97%
September 10
94%
September 11
42%
September 12
85%
September 13
86%
September 14
87%
September 15
83%
September 16
82%
September 17
70%
September 18
89%
September 19
60%
September 20
83%
September 21
89%
September 22
69%
September 23
59%
September 24
78%
September 25
62%
September 26
86%
September 27
88%
September 28
88%
September 29
87%
September 30
70%
$35,951 Vol.
September 3
69%
September 9
97%
September 10
94%
September 11
42%
September 12
85%
September 13
86%
September 14
87%
September 15
83%
September 16
82%
September 17
70%
September 18
89%
September 19
60%
September 20
83%
September 21
89%
September 22
69%
September 23
59%
September 24
78%
September 25
62%
September 26
86%
September 27
88%
September 28
88%
September 29
87%
September 30
70%
A qualifying public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available on the specified date (ET). Pre-recorded public statements will count for the date (ET) that they are made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify.
Images and videos posted on verified social media accounts will only qualify if they contain insulting language clearly directed at the individual, whether within the content itself or in an accompanying caption. Language within the content of a video will only qualify if Donald Trump is clearly portrayed as saying it. Insulting language within the content of a video said by anyone other than Donald Trump or a portrayal thereof will not qualify.
A quote post will qualify if added language independently qualifies as an insult, or endorses insulting language directed at the individual within the quoted post; a repost of another account's post will not qualify.
A public statement qualifies as an insult if it mocks, degrades, or disparages the individual either personally or professionally. This includes calling the individual a clearly insulting trait (e.g., weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure), using an insulting nickname (e.g., Crooked Hillary), using other clearly derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a clearly derogatory manner (e.g., “He isn’t smart”, “He has no judgment”). Disparaging the individual in their professional capacity will qualify (e.g., "He is a disaster candidate," "He is terrible at his job"); however, negative comments directed at the individual's specific actions, policies, or decisions will not qualify (e.g., "He has bad policies," "He is wrong about healthcare").
A statement made in direct reference to the individual will qualify even if they are not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
The resolution sources will be public statements made by Donald Trump and a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Sep 2, 2026, 5:16 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A qualifying public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available on the specified date (ET). Pre-recorded public statements will count for the date (ET) that they are made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify.
Images and videos posted on verified social media accounts will only qualify if they contain insulting language clearly directed at the individual, whether within the content itself or in an accompanying caption. Language within the content of a video will only qualify if Donald Trump is clearly portrayed as saying it. Insulting language within the content of a video said by anyone other than Donald Trump or a portrayal thereof will not qualify.
A quote post will qualify if added language independently qualifies as an insult, or endorses insulting language directed at the individual within the quoted post; a repost of another account's post will not qualify.
A public statement qualifies as an insult if it mocks, degrades, or disparages the individual either personally or professionally. This includes calling the individual a clearly insulting trait (e.g., weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure), using an insulting nickname (e.g., Crooked Hillary), using other clearly derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a clearly derogatory manner (e.g., “He isn’t smart”, “He has no judgment”). Disparaging the individual in their professional capacity will qualify (e.g., "He is a disaster candidate," "He is terrible at his job"); however, negative comments directed at the individual's specific actions, policies, or decisions will not qualify (e.g., "He has bad policies," "He is wrong about healthcare").
A statement made in direct reference to the individual will qualify even if they are not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
The resolution sources will be public statements made by Donald Trump and a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trump’s established pattern of issuing direct personal criticisms through social media posts, press interactions, and public remarks continues to drive trader consensus on these daily markets. As president in 2026, he has repeatedly targeted journalists, members of Congress, and foreign policy figures amid tensions over Iran, trade, and domestic legislation. Recent examples include pointed attacks on reporters Kaitlan Collins and Maggie Haberman as well as Rep. Ilhan Omar. The upcoming Republican midterm convention keynote in Dallas on September 10 offers another high-visibility platform where similar language has historically appeared. Markets price most dates at or near 100% Yes because qualifying statements have occurred on the vast majority of tracked days, with resolution based on verifiable public records rather than private comments or paraphrases.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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