Skip to main content

To trade in the US, go to polymarket.us

icon for What will Trump say during RNC Convention (Night 1)?
Politics·Trump

What will Trump say during RNC Convention (Night 1)?

icon for What will Trump say during RNC Convention (Night 1)?
Politics·Trump

What will Trump say during RNC Convention (Night 1)?

NEW

$16,978 Vol.

Sep 9, 2026
Polymarket

$16,978 Vol.

Polymarket

Kamala / Obama / Biden 12+ times

$5 Vol.

60%

Hell 10+ times

$235 Vol.

67%

Vegan

$213 Vol.

19%

Ass

$1,910 Vol.

12%

Autism

$1,334 Vol.

29%

Charlie / Kirk

$293 Vol.

56%

Gay

$800 Vol.

15%

No Tax on Tips

$107 Vol.

95%

MAGA / Make America Great Again

$358 Vol.

93%

Radical Left

$156 Vol.

95%

Endorse / Endorsed / Endorsement

$402 Vol.

92%

Afford / Affordable / Affordability

$546 Vol.

89%

AI / Artificial Intelligence

$3,520 Vol.

55%

Rigged Election

$1,296 Vol.

25%

Crypto / Cryptocurrency / Bitcoin

$5,164 Vol.

8%

-No Qualifying Event-

$639 Vol.

1%

Donald Trump is scheduled to give remarks at the RNC Convention on September 9, 2026 at 10AM ET. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the specified appearance. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market is explicitly about Trump's remarks at the RNC Convention scheduled for September 9, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not available by September 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be audio/video of the event. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdfTrump is scheduled to deliver remarks at the Republican Party’s first-ever midterm convention in Dallas on September 9, 2026, an event organized to rally support and drive turnout for the November congressional elections. The address follows Vice President JD Vance’s opening remarks and centers on core administration priorities including immigration enforcement, border security, tax policy, economic growth, and midterm mobilization. Traders evaluate term-frequency outcomes against Trump’s established patterns from prior rallies and conventions, where references to MAGA themes, Democrats, border issues, and policy pledges recur frequently. Resolution depends on verifiable audio or video of the qualifying appearance, with no major last-minute developments reported that would shift expectations ahead of the event.

Donald Trump is scheduled to give remarks at the RNC Convention on September 9, 2026 at 10AM ET.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the specified appearance. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

This market is explicitly about Trump's remarks at the RNC Convention scheduled for September 9, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution.

If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not available by September 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be audio/video of the event.

For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdfDonald Trump is scheduled to give remarks at the RNC Convention on September 9, 2026 at 10AM ET. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the specified appearance. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market is explicitly about Trump's remarks at the RNC Convention scheduled for September 9, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not available by September 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be audio/video of the event. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Volume
$16,978
End Date
Sep 10, 2026
Market Opened
Sep 8, 2026, 12:37 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
Donald Trump is scheduled to give remarks at the RNC Convention on September 9, 2026 at 10AM ET. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the specified appearance. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market is explicitly about Trump's remarks at the RNC Convention scheduled for September 9, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not available by September 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be audio/video of the event. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdfTrump is scheduled to deliver remarks at the Republican Party’s first-ever midterm convention in Dallas on September 9, 2026, an event organized to rally support and drive turnout for the November congressional elections. The address follows Vice President JD Vance’s opening remarks and centers on core administration priorities including immigration enforcement, border security, tax policy, economic growth, and midterm mobilization. Traders evaluate term-frequency outcomes against Trump’s established patterns from prior rallies and conventions, where references to MAGA themes, Democrats, border issues, and policy pledges recur frequently. Resolution depends on verifiable audio or video of the qualifying appearance, with no major last-minute developments reported that would shift expectations ahead of the event.

Donald Trump is scheduled to give remarks at the RNC Convention on September 9, 2026 at 10AM ET.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the specified appearance. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

This market is explicitly about Trump's remarks at the RNC Convention scheduled for September 9, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution.

If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not available by September 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be audio/video of the event.

For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdfDonald Trump is scheduled to give remarks at the RNC Convention on September 9, 2026 at 10AM ET. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the specified appearance. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market is explicitly about Trump's remarks at the RNC Convention scheduled for September 9, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not available by September 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be audio/video of the event. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Volume
$16,978
End Date
Sep 10, 2026
Market Opened
Sep 8, 2026, 12:37 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...

Related

icon for Will Trump say "Charlie" or "Kirk" during RNC Convention?

Will Trump say "Charlie" or "Kirk" during RNC Convention?

72%
icon for Will JD Vance say "Charlie" or "Kirk" during RNC Convention?

Will JD Vance say "Charlie" or "Kirk" during RNC Convention?

84%
icon for Will Trump say "Department of War" during remarks at the Pentagon?

Will Trump say "Department of War" during remarks at the Pentagon?

73%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"What will Trump say during RNC Convention (Night 1)?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 16 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "No Tax on Tips" at 95%, followed by "Radical Left" at 95%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 95¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 95% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "What will Trump say during RNC Convention (Night 1)?" has generated $17K in total trading volume since the market launched on Sep 8, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "What will Trump say during RNC Convention (Night 1)?," browse the 16 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "What will Trump say during RNC Convention (Night 1)?" is "No Tax on Tips" at 95%, meaning the market assigns a 95% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Radical Left" at 95%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "What will Trump say during RNC Convention (Night 1)?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.