Wisconsin's 2nd congressional district, anchored in the Madison area, carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+21 and has delivered Democratic margins above 40 points in recent cycles. Incumbent Mark Pocan secured renomination in the August 2026 Democratic primary with 88 percent of the vote. No Republican candidate filed by the June 2026 deadline, leaving the general election without a major-party opponent on the November 3 ballot. These structural factors, combined with the district's consistent voting patterns and Pocan's incumbency and fundraising advantage, underpin trader consensus reflected in the current pricing. Late developments capable of altering the outcome remain limited to unforeseen events such as candidate withdrawal or health issues, though none have materialized.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedWI-02 House Election Winner
WI-02 House Election Winner
$102,288 Vol.
$102,288 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Mark Pocan (D)
97%
Republican Party
<1%
$102,288 Vol.
$102,288 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Mark Pocan (D)
$62,181 Vol.
97%
Republican Party
$40,107 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Wisconsin's 2nd congressional district, anchored in the Madison area, carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+21 and has delivered Democratic margins above 40 points in recent cycles. Incumbent Mark Pocan secured renomination in the August 2026 Democratic primary with 88 percent of the vote. No Republican candidate filed by the June 2026 deadline, leaving the general election without a major-party opponent on the November 3 ballot. These structural factors, combined with the district's consistent voting patterns and Pocan's incumbency and fundraising advantage, underpin trader consensus reflected in the current pricing. Late developments capable of altering the outcome remain limited to unforeseen events such as candidate withdrawal or health issues, though none have materialized.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$102,288End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Wisconsin's 2nd congressional district, anchored in the Madison area, carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+21 and has delivered Democratic margins above 40 points in recent cycles. Incumbent Mark Pocan secured renomination in the August 2026 Democratic primary with 88 percent of the vote. No Republican candidate filed by the June 2026 deadline, leaving the general election without a major-party opponent on the November 3 ballot. These structural factors, combined with the district's consistent voting patterns and Pocan's incumbency and fundraising advantage, underpin trader consensus reflected in the current pricing. Late developments capable of altering the outcome remain limited to unforeseen events such as candidate withdrawal or health issues, though none have materialized.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$102,288End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Wisconsin's 2nd congressional district, anchored in the Madison area, carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+21 and has delivered Democratic margins above 40 points in recent cycles. Incumbent Mark Pocan secured renomination in the August 2026 Democratic primary with 88 percent of the vote. No Republican candidate filed by the June 2026 deadline, leaving the general election without a major-party opponent on the November 3 ballot. These structural factors, combined with the district's consistent voting patterns and Pocan's incumbency and fundraising advantage, underpin trader consensus reflected in the current pricing. Late developments capable of altering the outcome remain limited to unforeseen events such as candidate withdrawal or health issues, though none have materialized.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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