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icon for Who will attend King Harald V's funeral?

Who will attend King Harald V's funeral?

icon for Who will attend King Harald V's funeral?

Who will attend King Harald V's funeral?

$29,254 Vol.

Sep 13, 2026
Polymarket

$29,254 Vol.

Polymarket
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Mette Frederiksen

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The state funeral of King Harald V of Norway has been scheduled for 1:00 PM CEST on September 9, 2026, at Oslo Cathedral in Oslo, Norway. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends King Harald V's funeral. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the event is canceled or postponed beyond September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Attending the funeral is defined as being in physical attendance during any part of the event. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.King Harald V’s death on August 28 at age 89 triggered Norway’s state funeral on September 9 at Oslo Cathedral, followed by private interment at Akershus Fortress, drawing dozens of European royals and heads of state whose confirmed attendance shaped trader expectations. The new King Haakon VIII led the procession alongside family members, while Prince William represented the British monarchy and Princess Anne attended privately as godmother to the new king; Nordic monarchs from Denmark and Sweden joined counterparts from Spain, the Netherlands, Belgium, and Monaco, alongside Ukrainian President Zelenskyy and other dignitaries. Recent health-related absences, including Queen Mette-Marit’s recovery from transplant surgery, and the 13-day national mourning period highlighted selective participation patterns typical of royal protocol. Upcoming resolution hinges on verified guest lists from official announcements rather than unconfirmed speculation.

The state funeral of King Harald V of Norway has been scheduled for 1:00 PM CEST on September 9, 2026, at Oslo Cathedral in Oslo, Norway.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends King Harald V's funeral. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the event is canceled or postponed beyond September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Attending the funeral is defined as being in physical attendance during any part of the event.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
The state funeral of King Harald V of Norway has been scheduled for 1:00 PM CEST on September 9, 2026, at Oslo Cathedral in Oslo, Norway. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends King Harald V's funeral. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the event is canceled or postponed beyond September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Attending the funeral is defined as being in physical attendance during any part of the event. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$29,254
End Date
Sep 13, 2026
Market Opened
Sep 3, 2026, 1:21 PM ET

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

The state funeral of King Harald V of Norway has been scheduled for 1:00 PM CEST on September 9, 2026, at Oslo Cathedral in Oslo, Norway. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends King Harald V's funeral. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the event is canceled or postponed beyond September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Attending the funeral is defined as being in physical attendance during any part of the event. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.King Harald V’s death on August 28 at age 89 triggered Norway’s state funeral on September 9 at Oslo Cathedral, followed by private interment at Akershus Fortress, drawing dozens of European royals and heads of state whose confirmed attendance shaped trader expectations. The new King Haakon VIII led the procession alongside family members, while Prince William represented the British monarchy and Princess Anne attended privately as godmother to the new king; Nordic monarchs from Denmark and Sweden joined counterparts from Spain, the Netherlands, Belgium, and Monaco, alongside Ukrainian President Zelenskyy and other dignitaries. Recent health-related absences, including Queen Mette-Marit’s recovery from transplant surgery, and the 13-day national mourning period highlighted selective participation patterns typical of royal protocol. Upcoming resolution hinges on verified guest lists from official announcements rather than unconfirmed speculation.

The state funeral of King Harald V of Norway has been scheduled for 1:00 PM CEST on September 9, 2026, at Oslo Cathedral in Oslo, Norway.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends King Harald V's funeral. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the event is canceled or postponed beyond September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Attending the funeral is defined as being in physical attendance during any part of the event.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
The state funeral of King Harald V of Norway has been scheduled for 1:00 PM CEST on September 9, 2026, at Oslo Cathedral in Oslo, Norway. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends King Harald V's funeral. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the event is canceled or postponed beyond September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Attending the funeral is defined as being in physical attendance during any part of the event. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$29,254
End Date
Sep 13, 2026
Market Opened
Sep 3, 2026, 1:21 PM ET

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Who will attend King Harald V's funeral?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 29 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Mette Frederiksen" at 100%, followed by "Volodymyr Zelensky" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Who will attend King Harald V's funeral?" has generated $29.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Sep 3, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Who will attend King Harald V's funeral?," browse the 29 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Who will attend King Harald V's funeral?" is "Mette Frederiksen" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Volodymyr Zelensky" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Who will attend King Harald V's funeral?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.