Johnny Garrett secured the Republican nomination for Tennessee’s 6th congressional district after winning the August 6 primary with 43.6% of the vote against former U.S. Rep. Van Hilleary and other challengers. The district, redrawn in 2026 and covering eastern Nashville suburbs through northern Middle Tennessee to the Cumberland Plateau, carries a strong Republican partisan lean exceeding 30 points, consistent with the seat’s performance in recent cycles. Mike Croley won the Democratic primary but faces structural headwinds in a race rated solid or safe Republican by multiple forecasters. With the November 3 general election approaching, trader consensus reflects the district’s voting patterns and limited crossover potential. Late developments such as major scandals or significant national political shifts could still influence turnout or margins in the final weeks.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedTN-06 House Election Winner
TN-06 House Election Winner
$14,021 Vol.
$14,021 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Johnny Garrett (R)
95%
Mike Croley (D)
6%
$14,021 Vol.
$14,021 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Johnny Garrett (R)
$9,020 Vol.
95%
Mike Croley (D)
$5,001 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Johnny Garrett secured the Republican nomination for Tennessee’s 6th congressional district after winning the August 6 primary with 43.6% of the vote against former U.S. Rep. Van Hilleary and other challengers. The district, redrawn in 2026 and covering eastern Nashville suburbs through northern Middle Tennessee to the Cumberland Plateau, carries a strong Republican partisan lean exceeding 30 points, consistent with the seat’s performance in recent cycles. Mike Croley won the Democratic primary but faces structural headwinds in a race rated solid or safe Republican by multiple forecasters. With the November 3 general election approaching, trader consensus reflects the district’s voting patterns and limited crossover potential. Late developments such as major scandals or significant national political shifts could still influence turnout or margins in the final weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$14,021End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Johnny Garrett secured the Republican nomination for Tennessee’s 6th congressional district after winning the August 6 primary with 43.6% of the vote against former U.S. Rep. Van Hilleary and other challengers. The district, redrawn in 2026 and covering eastern Nashville suburbs through northern Middle Tennessee to the Cumberland Plateau, carries a strong Republican partisan lean exceeding 30 points, consistent with the seat’s performance in recent cycles. Mike Croley won the Democratic primary but faces structural headwinds in a race rated solid or safe Republican by multiple forecasters. With the November 3 general election approaching, trader consensus reflects the district’s voting patterns and limited crossover potential. Late developments such as major scandals or significant national political shifts could still influence turnout or margins in the final weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$14,021End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Johnny Garrett secured the Republican nomination for Tennessee’s 6th congressional district after winning the August 6 primary with 43.6% of the vote against former U.S. Rep. Van Hilleary and other challengers. The district, redrawn in 2026 and covering eastern Nashville suburbs through northern Middle Tennessee to the Cumberland Plateau, carries a strong Republican partisan lean exceeding 30 points, consistent with the seat’s performance in recent cycles. Mike Croley won the Democratic primary but faces structural headwinds in a race rated solid or safe Republican by multiple forecasters. With the November 3 general election approaching, trader consensus reflects the district’s voting patterns and limited crossover potential. Late developments such as major scandals or significant national political shifts could still influence turnout or margins in the final weeks.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions