Charlie Hatcher secured the Republican nomination by defeating incumbent Andy Ogles in the August 2026 primary, positioning him as the clear favorite in Tennessee’s 5th Congressional District. Redistricting earlier that year removed much of Nashville’s Democratic-leaning territory and extended the district across rural western and northwestern counties plus a portion of Memphis, producing a solidly Republican electorate according to multiple forecasters. Hatcher’s background as a former state agriculture commissioner and dairy farmer aligns with the district’s agricultural base, while Democrat Chaz Molder, the Columbia mayor who won his primary, faces structural headwinds despite recent debate proposals. Trader consensus reflects these factors, with limited general-election movement expected absent major late developments before November 3.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedTN-05 House Election Winner
TN-05 House Election Winner
$53,273 Vol.
$53,273 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Charlie Hatcher (R)
89%
Chaz Molder (D)
11%
$53,273 Vol.
$53,273 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Charlie Hatcher (R)
$26,788 Vol.
89%
Chaz Molder (D)
$26,485 Vol.
11%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Charlie Hatcher secured the Republican nomination by defeating incumbent Andy Ogles in the August 2026 primary, positioning him as the clear favorite in Tennessee’s 5th Congressional District. Redistricting earlier that year removed much of Nashville’s Democratic-leaning territory and extended the district across rural western and northwestern counties plus a portion of Memphis, producing a solidly Republican electorate according to multiple forecasters. Hatcher’s background as a former state agriculture commissioner and dairy farmer aligns with the district’s agricultural base, while Democrat Chaz Molder, the Columbia mayor who won his primary, faces structural headwinds despite recent debate proposals. Trader consensus reflects these factors, with limited general-election movement expected absent major late developments before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$53,273End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Charlie Hatcher secured the Republican nomination by defeating incumbent Andy Ogles in the August 2026 primary, positioning him as the clear favorite in Tennessee’s 5th Congressional District. Redistricting earlier that year removed much of Nashville’s Democratic-leaning territory and extended the district across rural western and northwestern counties plus a portion of Memphis, producing a solidly Republican electorate according to multiple forecasters. Hatcher’s background as a former state agriculture commissioner and dairy farmer aligns with the district’s agricultural base, while Democrat Chaz Molder, the Columbia mayor who won his primary, faces structural headwinds despite recent debate proposals. Trader consensus reflects these factors, with limited general-election movement expected absent major late developments before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$53,273End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Charlie Hatcher secured the Republican nomination by defeating incumbent Andy Ogles in the August 2026 primary, positioning him as the clear favorite in Tennessee’s 5th Congressional District. Redistricting earlier that year removed much of Nashville’s Democratic-leaning territory and extended the district across rural western and northwestern counties plus a portion of Memphis, producing a solidly Republican electorate according to multiple forecasters. Hatcher’s background as a former state agriculture commissioner and dairy farmer aligns with the district’s agricultural base, while Democrat Chaz Molder, the Columbia mayor who won his primary, faces structural headwinds despite recent debate proposals. Trader consensus reflects these factors, with limited general-election movement expected absent major late developments before November 3.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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