Incumbent Republican Diana Harshbarger holds a commanding lead in the Tennessee 1st congressional district race due to the district's strong Republican tilt, reflected in prior elections and recent redistricting that favors the party. She advanced unopposed through the August primary while securing substantial campaign resources from corporate PACs and individual donors, far outpacing Democrat Kristi Burke, who prevailed in her primary but faces structural headwinds in a seat where Republicans have held the office since 1881. Trader consensus pricing aligns with nonpartisan forecasts rating the contest as solidly Republican. Late developments such as unexpected scandals, health issues, or unusually high opposition turnout could still narrow margins before the November general election.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedTN-01 House Election Winner
TN-01 House Election Winner
$27,101 Vol.
$27,101 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Diana Harshbarger (R)
96%
Kristi Burke (D)
4%
$27,101 Vol.
$27,101 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Diana Harshbarger (R)
$21,678 Vol.
96%
Kristi Burke (D)
$5,423 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Diana Harshbarger holds a commanding lead in the Tennessee 1st congressional district race due to the district's strong Republican tilt, reflected in prior elections and recent redistricting that favors the party. She advanced unopposed through the August primary while securing substantial campaign resources from corporate PACs and individual donors, far outpacing Democrat Kristi Burke, who prevailed in her primary but faces structural headwinds in a seat where Republicans have held the office since 1881. Trader consensus pricing aligns with nonpartisan forecasts rating the contest as solidly Republican. Late developments such as unexpected scandals, health issues, or unusually high opposition turnout could still narrow margins before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$27,101End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Diana Harshbarger holds a commanding lead in the Tennessee 1st congressional district race due to the district's strong Republican tilt, reflected in prior elections and recent redistricting that favors the party. She advanced unopposed through the August primary while securing substantial campaign resources from corporate PACs and individual donors, far outpacing Democrat Kristi Burke, who prevailed in her primary but faces structural headwinds in a seat where Republicans have held the office since 1881. Trader consensus pricing aligns with nonpartisan forecasts rating the contest as solidly Republican. Late developments such as unexpected scandals, health issues, or unusually high opposition turnout could still narrow margins before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$27,101End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Diana Harshbarger holds a commanding lead in the Tennessee 1st congressional district race due to the district's strong Republican tilt, reflected in prior elections and recent redistricting that favors the party. She advanced unopposed through the August primary while securing substantial campaign resources from corporate PACs and individual donors, far outpacing Democrat Kristi Burke, who prevailed in her primary but faces structural headwinds in a seat where Republicans have held the office since 1881. Trader consensus pricing aligns with nonpartisan forecasts rating the contest as solidly Republican. Late developments such as unexpected scandals, health issues, or unusually high opposition turnout could still narrow margins before the November general election.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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