Incumbent Republican Nick LaLota holds a clear edge in New York’s 1st Congressional District, a seat rated solidly Republican by Cook Political Report and other forecasters ahead of the November 3 general election. LaLota’s two prior victories, substantial campaign resources exceeding $3 million, and established local ties as a former Suffolk County official underpin trader pricing at 72 percent. Democrat Chris Gallant secured his nomination in the June 23 primary with roughly 63 percent of the vote but faces the structural challenges of challenging an incumbent in a district that has trended Republican in recent cycles. Both candidates bring military backgrounds to the race, yet no major polling shifts or late developments have altered the consensus positioning since the primaries concluded.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNY-01 House Election Winner
NY-01 House Election Winner
$42,372 Vol.
$42,372 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Nick LaLota (R)
72%
Chris Gallant (D)
27%
$42,372 Vol.
$42,372 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Nick LaLota (R)
$16,306 Vol.
72%
Chris Gallant (D)
$26,065 Vol.
27%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Nick LaLota holds a clear edge in New York’s 1st Congressional District, a seat rated solidly Republican by Cook Political Report and other forecasters ahead of the November 3 general election. LaLota’s two prior victories, substantial campaign resources exceeding $3 million, and established local ties as a former Suffolk County official underpin trader pricing at 72 percent. Democrat Chris Gallant secured his nomination in the June 23 primary with roughly 63 percent of the vote but faces the structural challenges of challenging an incumbent in a district that has trended Republican in recent cycles. Both candidates bring military backgrounds to the race, yet no major polling shifts or late developments have altered the consensus positioning since the primaries concluded.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
Volume
$42,372End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Nick LaLota holds a clear edge in New York’s 1st Congressional District, a seat rated solidly Republican by Cook Political Report and other forecasters ahead of the November 3 general election. LaLota’s two prior victories, substantial campaign resources exceeding $3 million, and established local ties as a former Suffolk County official underpin trader pricing at 72 percent. Democrat Chris Gallant secured his nomination in the June 23 primary with roughly 63 percent of the vote but faces the structural challenges of challenging an incumbent in a district that has trended Republican in recent cycles. Both candidates bring military backgrounds to the race, yet no major polling shifts or late developments have altered the consensus positioning since the primaries concluded.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$42,372End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Nick LaLota holds a clear edge in New York’s 1st Congressional District, a seat rated solidly Republican by Cook Political Report and other forecasters ahead of the November 3 general election. LaLota’s two prior victories, substantial campaign resources exceeding $3 million, and established local ties as a former Suffolk County official underpin trader pricing at 72 percent. Democrat Chris Gallant secured his nomination in the June 23 primary with roughly 63 percent of the vote but faces the structural challenges of challenging an incumbent in a district that has trended Republican in recent cycles. Both candidates bring military backgrounds to the race, yet no major polling shifts or late developments have altered the consensus positioning since the primaries concluded.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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