Incumbent Grace Meng secured renomination in the June 2026 Democratic primary for New York’s 6th Congressional District with roughly 57 percent of the vote against challenger Chuck Park, while Joseph Chou advanced unopposed on the Republican side. The solidly Democratic Queens-based district, with its Asian-American plurality and consistent support for Democratic candidates, underpins trader consensus on Meng’s commanding position ahead of the November 3 general election. Her substantial fundraising edge and committee seniority further reinforce the implied probability reflected in current pricing. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a national partisan shift, unusually high Republican turnout, or late-breaking developments such as a major scandal or health event affecting the incumbent.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNY-06 House Election Winner
NY-06 House Election Winner
$21,579 Vol.
$21,579 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Grace Meng (D)
95%
Joseph Chou (R)
6%
$21,579 Vol.
$21,579 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Grace Meng (D)
$10,007 Vol.
95%
Joseph Chou (R)
$11,572 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Grace Meng secured renomination in the June 2026 Democratic primary for New York’s 6th Congressional District with roughly 57 percent of the vote against challenger Chuck Park, while Joseph Chou advanced unopposed on the Republican side. The solidly Democratic Queens-based district, with its Asian-American plurality and consistent support for Democratic candidates, underpins trader consensus on Meng’s commanding position ahead of the November 3 general election. Her substantial fundraising edge and committee seniority further reinforce the implied probability reflected in current pricing. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a national partisan shift, unusually high Republican turnout, or late-breaking developments such as a major scandal or health event affecting the incumbent.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
Volume
$21,579End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Grace Meng secured renomination in the June 2026 Democratic primary for New York’s 6th Congressional District with roughly 57 percent of the vote against challenger Chuck Park, while Joseph Chou advanced unopposed on the Republican side. The solidly Democratic Queens-based district, with its Asian-American plurality and consistent support for Democratic candidates, underpins trader consensus on Meng’s commanding position ahead of the November 3 general election. Her substantial fundraising edge and committee seniority further reinforce the implied probability reflected in current pricing. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a national partisan shift, unusually high Republican turnout, or late-breaking developments such as a major scandal or health event affecting the incumbent.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$21,579End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Grace Meng secured renomination in the June 2026 Democratic primary for New York’s 6th Congressional District with roughly 57 percent of the vote against challenger Chuck Park, while Joseph Chou advanced unopposed on the Republican side. The solidly Democratic Queens-based district, with its Asian-American plurality and consistent support for Democratic candidates, underpins trader consensus on Meng’s commanding position ahead of the November 3 general election. Her substantial fundraising edge and committee seniority further reinforce the implied probability reflected in current pricing. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a national partisan shift, unusually high Republican turnout, or late-breaking developments such as a major scandal or health event affecting the incumbent.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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