The closely matched probabilities between the 700K-750K and 750K-800K turnout brackets reflect uncertainty over participation in Nebraska’s November 3 U.S. Senate contest between incumbent Republican Pete Ricketts and independent Dan Osborn. Recent voter registration data show modestly fewer total registrants than in 2024, consistent with typical midterm declines, while polling indicates a tight race that could sustain engagement among both Republican and independent voters. The absence of a Democratic nominee after the primary winner withdrew may further shape mobilization patterns. Historical midterm totals in the state have varied with national conditions and candidate appeal, leaving room for shifts from late campaign developments, turnout operations, or broader political sentiment before Election Day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated750K-800K 45%
700K-750K 43%
800K-850K 13%
900K+ 3.5%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
<650K
3%
650K-700K
3%
700K-750K
43%
750K-800K
45%
800K-850K
13%
850K-900K
2%
900K+
3%
750K-800K 45%
700K-750K 43%
800K-850K 13%
900K+ 3.5%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
<650K
$200 Vol.
3%
650K-700K
$205 Vol.
3%
700K-750K
$1,038 Vol.
43%
750K-800K
$1,409 Vol.
45%
800K-850K
$270 Vol.
13%
850K-900K
$328 Vol.
2%
900K+
$1,690 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Nebraska.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Nebraska, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The closely matched probabilities between the 700K-750K and 750K-800K turnout brackets reflect uncertainty over participation in Nebraska’s November 3 U.S. Senate contest between incumbent Republican Pete Ricketts and independent Dan Osborn. Recent voter registration data show modestly fewer total registrants than in 2024, consistent with typical midterm declines, while polling indicates a tight race that could sustain engagement among both Republican and independent voters. The absence of a Democratic nominee after the primary winner withdrew may further shape mobilization patterns. Historical midterm totals in the state have varied with national conditions and candidate appeal, leaving room for shifts from late campaign developments, turnout operations, or broader political sentiment before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Nebraska.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Nebraska, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Nebraska, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 18, 2026, 10:12 AM ET
Volume
$5,140End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Aug 18, 2026, 10:12 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Nebraska.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Nebraska, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The closely matched probabilities between the 700K-750K and 750K-800K turnout brackets reflect uncertainty over participation in Nebraska’s November 3 U.S. Senate contest between incumbent Republican Pete Ricketts and independent Dan Osborn. Recent voter registration data show modestly fewer total registrants than in 2024, consistent with typical midterm declines, while polling indicates a tight race that could sustain engagement among both Republican and independent voters. The absence of a Democratic nominee after the primary winner withdrew may further shape mobilization patterns. Historical midterm totals in the state have varied with national conditions and candidate appeal, leaving room for shifts from late campaign developments, turnout operations, or broader political sentiment before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Nebraska.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Nebraska, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Nebraska, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$5,140End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Aug 18, 2026, 10:12 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The closely matched probabilities between the 700K-750K and 750K-800K turnout brackets reflect uncertainty over participation in Nebraska’s November 3 U.S. Senate contest between incumbent Republican Pete Ricketts and independent Dan Osborn. Recent voter registration data show modestly fewer total registrants than in 2024, consistent with typical midterm declines, while polling indicates a tight race that could sustain engagement among both Republican and independent voters. The absence of a Democratic nominee after the primary winner withdrew may further shape mobilization patterns. Historical midterm totals in the state have varied with national conditions and candidate appeal, leaving room for shifts from late campaign developments, turnout operations, or broader political sentiment before Election Day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedRelated
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Iowa be between 1,400,000 and 1,450,000?
28%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from South Dakota be between 375,000 and 400,000?
28%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Ohio be between 4,500,000 and 4,650,000?
49%
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions