The leading 190K-210K turnout range reflects trader consensus on Wyoming’s solidly Republican Senate contest between Harriet Hageman and James Byrd, where limited competitiveness and typical midterm drop-off from 2024’s 271K presidential total point to participation near the 198K recorded in the 2022 general election. With roughly 340K registered voters and an August primary drawing about 150K ballots, analysts see modest rural engagement and standard absentee patterns sustaining mid-range totals absent major national catalysts. Weather on November 3 and get-out-the-vote intensity remain the main variables that could shift probabilities within the clustered mid-buckets.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated190K-210K 55%
210K-230K 26%
170K-190K 6%
250K+ 6%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
<150K
3%
150K-170K
4%
170K-190K
6%
190K-210K
55%
210K-230K
26%
230K-250K
4%
250K+
6%
190K-210K 55%
210K-230K 26%
170K-190K 6%
250K+ 6%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
<150K
$246 Vol.
3%
150K-170K
$87 Vol.
4%
170K-190K
$161 Vol.
6%
190K-210K
$2,234 Vol.
55%
210K-230K
$293 Vol.
26%
230K-250K
$109 Vol.
4%
250K+
$572 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Wyoming.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Wyoming, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The leading 190K-210K turnout range reflects trader consensus on Wyoming’s solidly Republican Senate contest between Harriet Hageman and James Byrd, where limited competitiveness and typical midterm drop-off from 2024’s 271K presidential total point to participation near the 198K recorded in the 2022 general election. With roughly 340K registered voters and an August primary drawing about 150K ballots, analysts see modest rural engagement and standard absentee patterns sustaining mid-range totals absent major national catalysts. Weather on November 3 and get-out-the-vote intensity remain the main variables that could shift probabilities within the clustered mid-buckets.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Wyoming.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Wyoming, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Wyoming, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 18, 2026, 10:27 AM ET
Volume
$3,703End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Aug 18, 2026, 10:27 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Wyoming.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Wyoming, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The leading 190K-210K turnout range reflects trader consensus on Wyoming’s solidly Republican Senate contest between Harriet Hageman and James Byrd, where limited competitiveness and typical midterm drop-off from 2024’s 271K presidential total point to participation near the 198K recorded in the 2022 general election. With roughly 340K registered voters and an August primary drawing about 150K ballots, analysts see modest rural engagement and standard absentee patterns sustaining mid-range totals absent major national catalysts. Weather on November 3 and get-out-the-vote intensity remain the main variables that could shift probabilities within the clustered mid-buckets.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Wyoming.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Wyoming, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Wyoming, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$3,703End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Aug 18, 2026, 10:27 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The leading 190K-210K turnout range reflects trader consensus on Wyoming’s solidly Republican Senate contest between Harriet Hageman and James Byrd, where limited competitiveness and typical midterm drop-off from 2024’s 271K presidential total point to participation near the 198K recorded in the 2022 general election. With roughly 340K registered voters and an August primary drawing about 150K ballots, analysts see modest rural engagement and standard absentee patterns sustaining mid-range totals absent major national catalysts. Weather on November 3 and get-out-the-vote intensity remain the main variables that could shift probabilities within the clustered mid-buckets.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedRelated
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