The open gubernatorial race created by term-limited Republican Governor Bill Lee serves as the main catalyst supporting higher voter participation in Tennessee's November 3 midterm, where historical data shows open executive contests typically increase turnout by several points over standard off-year levels. This dynamic keeps the leading vote ranges tightly clustered, as traders balance the expected lift from the governor's contest and multiple contested down-ballot races against the limited mobilization potential of a solidly Republican Senate matchup featuring incumbent Bill Hagerty against Democrat Marquita Bradshaw. Early voting begins in mid-October, and any shifts in registration trends or national conditions could still alter final participation before resolution on total valid ballots cast.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated2M-2.2M 37%
1.8M-2M 32.3%
1.6M-1.8M 25.6%
2.2M-2.4M 6%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
<1.6M
1%
1.6M-1.8M
26%
1.8M-2M
32%
2M-2.2M
37%
2.2M-2.4M
6%
2.4M-2.6M
1%
2.6M+
3%
2M-2.2M 37%
1.8M-2M 32.3%
1.6M-1.8M 25.6%
2.2M-2.4M 6%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
<1.6M
$1,087 Vol.
1%
1.6M-1.8M
$1,084 Vol.
26%
1.8M-2M
$1,155 Vol.
32%
2M-2.2M
$1,506 Vol.
37%
2.2M-2.4M
$603 Vol.
6%
2.4M-2.6M
$619 Vol.
1%
2.6M+
$1,267 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Tennessee.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Tennessee, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The open gubernatorial race created by term-limited Republican Governor Bill Lee serves as the main catalyst supporting higher voter participation in Tennessee's November 3 midterm, where historical data shows open executive contests typically increase turnout by several points over standard off-year levels. This dynamic keeps the leading vote ranges tightly clustered, as traders balance the expected lift from the governor's contest and multiple contested down-ballot races against the limited mobilization potential of a solidly Republican Senate matchup featuring incumbent Bill Hagerty against Democrat Marquita Bradshaw. Early voting begins in mid-October, and any shifts in registration trends or national conditions could still alter final participation before resolution on total valid ballots cast.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Tennessee.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Tennessee, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Tennessee, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 18, 2026, 10:22 AM ET
Volume
$7,321End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Aug 18, 2026, 10:22 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Tennessee.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Tennessee, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The open gubernatorial race created by term-limited Republican Governor Bill Lee serves as the main catalyst supporting higher voter participation in Tennessee's November 3 midterm, where historical data shows open executive contests typically increase turnout by several points over standard off-year levels. This dynamic keeps the leading vote ranges tightly clustered, as traders balance the expected lift from the governor's contest and multiple contested down-ballot races against the limited mobilization potential of a solidly Republican Senate matchup featuring incumbent Bill Hagerty against Democrat Marquita Bradshaw. Early voting begins in mid-October, and any shifts in registration trends or national conditions could still alter final participation before resolution on total valid ballots cast.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Tennessee.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Tennessee, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Tennessee, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$7,321End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Aug 18, 2026, 10:22 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The open gubernatorial race created by term-limited Republican Governor Bill Lee serves as the main catalyst supporting higher voter participation in Tennessee's November 3 midterm, where historical data shows open executive contests typically increase turnout by several points over standard off-year levels. This dynamic keeps the leading vote ranges tightly clustered, as traders balance the expected lift from the governor's contest and multiple contested down-ballot races against the limited mobilization potential of a solidly Republican Senate matchup featuring incumbent Bill Hagerty against Democrat Marquita Bradshaw. Early voting begins in mid-October, and any shifts in registration trends or national conditions could still alter final participation before resolution on total valid ballots cast.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions