Rhode Island’s U.S. Senate contest between incumbent Democrat Jack Reed and Republican Raymond McKay remains a low-competition race, producing trader uncertainty over November 3 general-election turnout. With roughly 758,000 registered voters, historical midterm participation has ranged from 43–47 percent, placing the leading 350,000–450,000 vote bins near expected levels. Record early in-person ballots cast ahead of the September 9 primaries signal elevated engagement that could lift general-election participation, yet the seat’s safe Democratic status and limited national visibility may dampen mobilization. Concurrent statewide races and any shifts in voter enthusiasm or Election Day conditions could separate the closely matched 350K–400K and 400K–450K ranges.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated400K-450K 35%
350K-400K 31.0%
300K-350K 13%
450K+ 3.6%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
<250K
1%
250K-300K
2%
300K-350K
13%
350K-400K
43%
400K-450K
35%
450K+
4%
400K-450K 35%
350K-400K 31.0%
300K-350K 13%
450K+ 3.6%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
<250K
$986 Vol.
1%
250K-300K
$930 Vol.
2%
300K-350K
$658 Vol.
13%
350K-400K
$61 Vol.
43%
400K-450K
$53 Vol.
35%
450K+
$1,511 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Rhode Island.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Rhode Island, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Rhode Island’s U.S. Senate contest between incumbent Democrat Jack Reed and Republican Raymond McKay remains a low-competition race, producing trader uncertainty over November 3 general-election turnout. With roughly 758,000 registered voters, historical midterm participation has ranged from 43–47 percent, placing the leading 350,000–450,000 vote bins near expected levels. Record early in-person ballots cast ahead of the September 9 primaries signal elevated engagement that could lift general-election participation, yet the seat’s safe Democratic status and limited national visibility may dampen mobilization. Concurrent statewide races and any shifts in voter enthusiasm or Election Day conditions could separate the closely matched 350K–400K and 400K–450K ranges.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Rhode Island.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Rhode Island, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Rhode Island, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 18, 2026, 10:22 AM ET
Volume
$4,199End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Aug 18, 2026, 10:22 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Rhode Island.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Rhode Island, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Rhode Island’s U.S. Senate contest between incumbent Democrat Jack Reed and Republican Raymond McKay remains a low-competition race, producing trader uncertainty over November 3 general-election turnout. With roughly 758,000 registered voters, historical midterm participation has ranged from 43–47 percent, placing the leading 350,000–450,000 vote bins near expected levels. Record early in-person ballots cast ahead of the September 9 primaries signal elevated engagement that could lift general-election participation, yet the seat’s safe Democratic status and limited national visibility may dampen mobilization. Concurrent statewide races and any shifts in voter enthusiasm or Election Day conditions could separate the closely matched 350K–400K and 400K–450K ranges.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Rhode Island.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Rhode Island, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Rhode Island, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$4,199End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Aug 18, 2026, 10:22 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Rhode Island’s U.S. Senate contest between incumbent Democrat Jack Reed and Republican Raymond McKay remains a low-competition race, producing trader uncertainty over November 3 general-election turnout. With roughly 758,000 registered voters, historical midterm participation has ranged from 43–47 percent, placing the leading 350,000–450,000 vote bins near expected levels. Record early in-person ballots cast ahead of the September 9 primaries signal elevated engagement that could lift general-election participation, yet the seat’s safe Democratic status and limited national visibility may dampen mobilization. Concurrent statewide races and any shifts in voter enthusiasm or Election Day conditions could separate the closely matched 350K–400K and 400K–450K ranges.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedRelated
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