Alma Adams holds a commanding position in the NC-12 House race due to the district’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voter Index near D+24 and her 74 percent victory in 2024. As the long-serving incumbent, Adams secured her party’s nomination comfortably in the March 2026 primary and maintains a substantial fundraising edge over Republican nominee Jack Codiga. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus at 96.5 percent for Adams aligns with these structural factors, including consistent Democratic performance in central Mecklenburg County. A shift would require an extraordinary event such as a major scandal, health-related withdrawal, or unprecedented national partisan swing capable of overcoming the district’s established voting patterns.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNC-12 House Election Winner
NC-12 House Election Winner
$64,306 Vol.
$64,306 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Alma Adams (D)
97%
Jack Codiga (R)
3%
$64,306 Vol.
$64,306 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Alma Adams (D)
$17,082 Vol.
97%
Jack Codiga (R)
$47,224 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Alma Adams holds a commanding position in the NC-12 House race due to the district’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voter Index near D+24 and her 74 percent victory in 2024. As the long-serving incumbent, Adams secured her party’s nomination comfortably in the March 2026 primary and maintains a substantial fundraising edge over Republican nominee Jack Codiga. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus at 96.5 percent for Adams aligns with these structural factors, including consistent Democratic performance in central Mecklenburg County. A shift would require an extraordinary event such as a major scandal, health-related withdrawal, or unprecedented national partisan swing capable of overcoming the district’s established voting patterns.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volume
$64,306End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Alma Adams holds a commanding position in the NC-12 House race due to the district’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voter Index near D+24 and her 74 percent victory in 2024. As the long-serving incumbent, Adams secured her party’s nomination comfortably in the March 2026 primary and maintains a substantial fundraising edge over Republican nominee Jack Codiga. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus at 96.5 percent for Adams aligns with these structural factors, including consistent Democratic performance in central Mecklenburg County. A shift would require an extraordinary event such as a major scandal, health-related withdrawal, or unprecedented national partisan swing capable of overcoming the district’s established voting patterns.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$64,306End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Alma Adams holds a commanding position in the NC-12 House race due to the district’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voter Index near D+24 and her 74 percent victory in 2024. As the long-serving incumbent, Adams secured her party’s nomination comfortably in the March 2026 primary and maintains a substantial fundraising edge over Republican nominee Jack Codiga. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus at 96.5 percent for Adams aligns with these structural factors, including consistent Democratic performance in central Mecklenburg County. A shift would require an extraordinary event such as a major scandal, health-related withdrawal, or unprecedented national partisan swing capable of overcoming the district’s established voting patterns.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions