Recent forecasts indicate a frontal system arriving Friday with westerly winds, widespread cloud cover, and showers that will interrupt clear-sky radiative cooling and limit overnight temperature drops in Moscow. After Thursday’s peak near 24–25 °C, models show daytime maxima falling to roughly 16–18 °C on the 11th, with minimums expected in the 10–12 °C range as moist air and moderate wind maintain mixing. Historical climatology places the average September 11 low near 8–9 °C, yet current ensemble guidance clusters higher because of persistent cloud and the warm antecedent airmass. Divergence among GFS, ECMWF, and regional runs on exact cloud timing and wind strength creates the near-even market split between sub-7 °C and 16 °C-plus outcomes, with resolution hinging on the Hydrometeorological Center’s next model cycle and observed overnight readings.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Moscow on September 11?
Lowest temperature in Moscow on September 11?
6°C or below 84%
16°C or higher 81%
9°C 40%
13°C 40%
NEW
NEW
Sep 11, 2026
6°C or below
84%
7°C
18%
8°C
18%
9°C
40%
10°C
26%
11°C
26%
12°C
25%
13°C
40%
14°C
40%
15°C
19%
16°C or higher
81%
6°C or below 84%
16°C or higher 81%
9°C 40%
13°C 40%
NEW
NEW
Sep 11, 2026
6°C or below
$0 Vol.
84%
7°C
$0 Vol.
18%
8°C
$0 Vol.
18%
9°C
$0 Vol.
40%
10°C
$0 Vol.
26%
11°C
$0 Vol.
26%
12°C
$0 Vol.
25%
13°C
$0 Vol.
40%
14°C
$0 Vol.
40%
15°C
$0 Vol.
19%
16°C or higher
$0 Vol.
81%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts indicate a frontal system arriving Friday with westerly winds, widespread cloud cover, and showers that will interrupt clear-sky radiative cooling and limit overnight temperature drops in Moscow. After Thursday’s peak near 24–25 °C, models show daytime maxima falling to roughly 16–18 °C on the 11th, with minimums expected in the 10–12 °C range as moist air and moderate wind maintain mixing. Historical climatology places the average September 11 low near 8–9 °C, yet current ensemble guidance clusters higher because of persistent cloud and the warm antecedent airmass. Divergence among GFS, ECMWF, and regional runs on exact cloud timing and wind strength creates the near-even market split between sub-7 °C and 16 °C-plus outcomes, with resolution hinging on the Hydrometeorological Center’s next model cycle and observed overnight readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 9, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Sep 11, 2026Market Opened
Sep 9, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts indicate a frontal system arriving Friday with westerly winds, widespread cloud cover, and showers that will interrupt clear-sky radiative cooling and limit overnight temperature drops in Moscow. After Thursday’s peak near 24–25 °C, models show daytime maxima falling to roughly 16–18 °C on the 11th, with minimums expected in the 10–12 °C range as moist air and moderate wind maintain mixing. Historical climatology places the average September 11 low near 8–9 °C, yet current ensemble guidance clusters higher because of persistent cloud and the warm antecedent airmass. Divergence among GFS, ECMWF, and regional runs on exact cloud timing and wind strength creates the near-even market split between sub-7 °C and 16 °C-plus outcomes, with resolution hinging on the Hydrometeorological Center’s next model cycle and observed overnight readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0End Date
Sep 11, 2026Market Opened
Sep 9, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts indicate a frontal system arriving Friday with westerly winds, widespread cloud cover, and showers that will interrupt clear-sky radiative cooling and limit overnight temperature drops in Moscow. After Thursday’s peak near 24–25 °C, models show daytime maxima falling to roughly 16–18 °C on the 11th, with minimums expected in the 10–12 °C range as moist air and moderate wind maintain mixing. Historical climatology places the average September 11 low near 8–9 °C, yet current ensemble guidance clusters higher because of persistent cloud and the warm antecedent airmass. Divergence among GFS, ECMWF, and regional runs on exact cloud timing and wind strength creates the near-even market split between sub-7 °C and 16 °C-plus outcomes, with resolution hinging on the Hydrometeorological Center’s next model cycle and observed overnight readings.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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