Recent forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and supporting model consensus project a daytime high of 24–26°C in Moscow on September 10, driven by southerly winds of 2–10 m/s, light cloud cover, and stable high pressure near 745–746 mmHg. This places 25°C as the central expectation, explaining its dominant 83.5% implied probability, while narrower bands around 24°C and 26°C capture residual model spread. Current observations and short-range guidance show minimal deviation risk from these conditions, with no significant frontal systems or rapid changes expected before peak afternoon temperatures. Traders are weighting official agency outputs and historical analogs for mid-September maxima, where 25°C aligns closely with the forecast envelope.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Moscow on September 10?
Highest temperature in Moscow on September 10?
25°C 80%
24°C 12%
26°C 8%
23°C 2%
NEW
$12,433 Vol.
NEW
$12,433 Vol.
Sep 10, 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
2%
24°C
12%
25°C
80%
26°C
8%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
25°C 80%
24°C 12%
26°C 8%
23°C 2%
NEW
$12,433 Vol.
NEW
$12,433 Vol.
Sep 10, 2026
18°C or below
$603 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$607 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$324 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$197 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$393 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$1,401 Vol.
2%
24°C
$2,427 Vol.
12%
25°C
$3,186 Vol.
80%
26°C
$1,929 Vol.
8%
27°C
$979 Vol.
<1%
28°C or higher
$388 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and supporting model consensus project a daytime high of 24–26°C in Moscow on September 10, driven by southerly winds of 2–10 m/s, light cloud cover, and stable high pressure near 745–746 mmHg. This places 25°C as the central expectation, explaining its dominant 83.5% implied probability, while narrower bands around 24°C and 26°C capture residual model spread. Current observations and short-range guidance show minimal deviation risk from these conditions, with no significant frontal systems or rapid changes expected before peak afternoon temperatures. Traders are weighting official agency outputs and historical analogs for mid-September maxima, where 25°C aligns closely with the forecast envelope.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$12,433End Date
Sep 10, 2026Market Opened
Sep 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and supporting model consensus project a daytime high of 24–26°C in Moscow on September 10, driven by southerly winds of 2–10 m/s, light cloud cover, and stable high pressure near 745–746 mmHg. This places 25°C as the central expectation, explaining its dominant 83.5% implied probability, while narrower bands around 24°C and 26°C capture residual model spread. Current observations and short-range guidance show minimal deviation risk from these conditions, with no significant frontal systems or rapid changes expected before peak afternoon temperatures. Traders are weighting official agency outputs and historical analogs for mid-September maxima, where 25°C aligns closely with the forecast envelope.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$12,433End Date
Sep 10, 2026Market Opened
Sep 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and supporting model consensus project a daytime high of 24–26°C in Moscow on September 10, driven by southerly winds of 2–10 m/s, light cloud cover, and stable high pressure near 745–746 mmHg. This places 25°C as the central expectation, explaining its dominant 83.5% implied probability, while narrower bands around 24°C and 26°C capture residual model spread. Current observations and short-range guidance show minimal deviation risk from these conditions, with no significant frontal systems or rapid changes expected before peak afternoon temperatures. Traders are weighting official agency outputs and historical analogs for mid-September maxima, where 25°C aligns closely with the forecast envelope.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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