Recent forecasts from models like GFS and ECMWF indicate a frontal passage over Moscow on September 11, 2026, bringing westerly winds, cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit daytime heating while allowing overnight radiative cooling under partly clearing skies. This setup produces expected minimum temperatures near 9–12 °C, close to the September climatological low of roughly 8.8 °C. Trader positioning reflects model spread on the precise overnight low, with some runs favoring stronger advection and values dipping toward 6 °C or below, while others keep readings above 15 °C under lingering warmth. Upcoming updated runs from NOAA and the Russian Hydrometeorological Center will clarify steering patterns and precipitation timing that determine whether the minimum settles in the central bins or shifts toward the tails.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Moscow on September 11?
Lowest temperature in Moscow on September 11?
16°C or higher 85%
6°C or below 83%
9°C 40%
13°C 40%
NEW
NEW
Sep 11, 2026
6°C or below
83%
7°C
18%
8°C
18%
9°C
40%
10°C
26%
11°C
26%
12°C
25%
13°C
40%
14°C
40%
15°C
19%
16°C or higher
85%
16°C or higher 85%
6°C or below 83%
9°C 40%
13°C 40%
NEW
NEW
Sep 11, 2026
6°C or below
$0 Vol.
83%
7°C
$0 Vol.
18%
8°C
$0 Vol.
18%
9°C
$0 Vol.
40%
10°C
$0 Vol.
26%
11°C
$0 Vol.
26%
12°C
$0 Vol.
25%
13°C
$0 Vol.
40%
14°C
$0 Vol.
40%
15°C
$0 Vol.
19%
16°C or higher
$0 Vol.
85%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models like GFS and ECMWF indicate a frontal passage over Moscow on September 11, 2026, bringing westerly winds, cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit daytime heating while allowing overnight radiative cooling under partly clearing skies. This setup produces expected minimum temperatures near 9–12 °C, close to the September climatological low of roughly 8.8 °C. Trader positioning reflects model spread on the precise overnight low, with some runs favoring stronger advection and values dipping toward 6 °C or below, while others keep readings above 15 °C under lingering warmth. Upcoming updated runs from NOAA and the Russian Hydrometeorological Center will clarify steering patterns and precipitation timing that determine whether the minimum settles in the central bins or shifts toward the tails.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 9, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Sep 11, 2026Market Opened
Sep 9, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models like GFS and ECMWF indicate a frontal passage over Moscow on September 11, 2026, bringing westerly winds, cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit daytime heating while allowing overnight radiative cooling under partly clearing skies. This setup produces expected minimum temperatures near 9–12 °C, close to the September climatological low of roughly 8.8 °C. Trader positioning reflects model spread on the precise overnight low, with some runs favoring stronger advection and values dipping toward 6 °C or below, while others keep readings above 15 °C under lingering warmth. Upcoming updated runs from NOAA and the Russian Hydrometeorological Center will clarify steering patterns and precipitation timing that determine whether the minimum settles in the central bins or shifts toward the tails.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0End Date
Sep 11, 2026Market Opened
Sep 9, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from models like GFS and ECMWF indicate a frontal passage over Moscow on September 11, 2026, bringing westerly winds, cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit daytime heating while allowing overnight radiative cooling under partly clearing skies. This setup produces expected minimum temperatures near 9–12 °C, close to the September climatological low of roughly 8.8 °C. Trader positioning reflects model spread on the precise overnight low, with some runs favoring stronger advection and values dipping toward 6 °C or below, while others keep readings above 15 °C under lingering warmth. Upcoming updated runs from NOAA and the Russian Hydrometeorological Center will clarify steering patterns and precipitation timing that determine whether the minimum settles in the central bins or shifts toward the tails.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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