**Trader consensus heavily favors a 30°C high in Chongqing on September 10, 2026, at 99.6% implied probability.** This positioning stems from persistent warm conditions through early September, with recent daytime peaks near 37°C under strong subtropical high influence, alongside model guidance projecting a daily maximum around that threshold before full cooling. Latest official forecasts from sources like the Chongqing Meteorological Observatory now indicate a shift, with cold air advection, widespread cloud cover, and scattered rain expected to cap temperatures closer to 25–29°C amid higher humidity and reduced insolation. Key resolution factors include the official station reading and any late-day warming. Scenarios that could realistically alter the outcome include delayed or weaker precipitation allowing brief peaks near 30°C, or measurement at a specific urban site exceeding broader regional averages. Updated model runs and real-time observations will determine final alignment with market-implied odds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Chongqing on September 10?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on September 10?
30°C 99.5%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
33°C or higher <1%
NEW
$69,601 Vol.
NEW
$69,601 Vol.
Sep 10, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
100%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
30°C 99.5%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
33°C or higher <1%
NEW
$69,601 Vol.
NEW
$69,601 Vol.
Sep 10, 2026
23°C or below
$1,032 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$650 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$4,401 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$5,600 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$3,468 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$8,599 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$17,336 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$13,085 Vol.
100%
31°C
$8,933 Vol.
1%
32°C
$4,975 Vol.
<1%
33°C or higher
$1,572 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus heavily favors a 30°C high in Chongqing on September 10, 2026, at 99.6% implied probability.** This positioning stems from persistent warm conditions through early September, with recent daytime peaks near 37°C under strong subtropical high influence, alongside model guidance projecting a daily maximum around that threshold before full cooling. Latest official forecasts from sources like the Chongqing Meteorological Observatory now indicate a shift, with cold air advection, widespread cloud cover, and scattered rain expected to cap temperatures closer to 25–29°C amid higher humidity and reduced insolation. Key resolution factors include the official station reading and any late-day warming. Scenarios that could realistically alter the outcome include delayed or weaker precipitation allowing brief peaks near 30°C, or measurement at a specific urban site exceeding broader regional averages. Updated model runs and real-time observations will determine final alignment with market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$69,601End Date
Sep 10, 2026Market Opened
Sep 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus heavily favors a 30°C high in Chongqing on September 10, 2026, at 99.6% implied probability.** This positioning stems from persistent warm conditions through early September, with recent daytime peaks near 37°C under strong subtropical high influence, alongside model guidance projecting a daily maximum around that threshold before full cooling. Latest official forecasts from sources like the Chongqing Meteorological Observatory now indicate a shift, with cold air advection, widespread cloud cover, and scattered rain expected to cap temperatures closer to 25–29°C amid higher humidity and reduced insolation. Key resolution factors include the official station reading and any late-day warming. Scenarios that could realistically alter the outcome include delayed or weaker precipitation allowing brief peaks near 30°C, or measurement at a specific urban site exceeding broader regional averages. Updated model runs and real-time observations will determine final alignment with market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$69,601End Date
Sep 10, 2026Market Opened
Sep 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus heavily favors a 30°C high in Chongqing on September 10, 2026, at 99.6% implied probability.** This positioning stems from persistent warm conditions through early September, with recent daytime peaks near 37°C under strong subtropical high influence, alongside model guidance projecting a daily maximum around that threshold before full cooling. Latest official forecasts from sources like the Chongqing Meteorological Observatory now indicate a shift, with cold air advection, widespread cloud cover, and scattered rain expected to cap temperatures closer to 25–29°C amid higher humidity and reduced insolation. Key resolution factors include the official station reading and any late-day warming. Scenarios that could realistically alter the outcome include delayed or weaker precipitation allowing brief peaks near 30°C, or measurement at a specific urban site exceeding broader regional averages. Updated model runs and real-time observations will determine final alignment with market-implied odds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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