**Trader sentiment for Karachi's September 10, 2026 lowest temperature remains closely divided between the 25°C outcome (45.5% implied probability) and 21°C or below (44.5%), reflecting genuine forecast uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling.** Official guidance and ensemble models from sources like the Pakistan Meteorological Department and global numerical weather prediction runs show typical September coastal conditions: high humidity (70–85% at night), southwest monsoon flow, and partly cloudy skies limiting clear-sky cooling. This produces forecast minimums clustered around 26–27°C, with some model spreads reaching the mid-20s depending on exact timing of any sea-breeze shift or cloud cover. Historical September lows in Karachi average near 25–26°C, but recent days have trended slightly warmer amid stable high pressure and minimal precipitation. The near-even market odds capture this narrow range of possible outcomes, as small differences in boundary-layer moisture or wind speed can shift the recorded minimum by 1–2°C at official stations. Upcoming hourly observations through the pre-dawn period will provide the decisive data for resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Karachi on September 10?
Lowest temperature in Karachi on September 10?
25°C 93%
24°C 34%
23°C 12%
21°C or below 10%
NEW
NEW
Sep 10, 2026
21°C or below
10%
22°C
2%
23°C
12%
24°C
34%
25°C
93%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
25°C 93%
24°C 34%
23°C 12%
21°C or below 10%
NEW
NEW
Sep 10, 2026
21°C or below
$200 Vol.
10%
22°C
$35 Vol.
2%
23°C
$204 Vol.
12%
24°C
$139 Vol.
34%
25°C
$218 Vol.
93%
26°C
$493 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$226 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$641 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$30 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$25 Vol.
<1%
31°C or higher
$0 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Karachi's September 10, 2026 lowest temperature remains closely divided between the 25°C outcome (45.5% implied probability) and 21°C or below (44.5%), reflecting genuine forecast uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling.**
Official guidance and ensemble models from sources like the Pakistan Meteorological Department and global numerical weather prediction runs show typical September coastal conditions: high humidity (70–85% at night), southwest monsoon flow, and partly cloudy skies limiting clear-sky cooling. This produces forecast minimums clustered around 26–27°C, with some model spreads reaching the mid-20s depending on exact timing of any sea-breeze shift or cloud cover.
Historical September lows in Karachi average near 25–26°C, but recent days have trended slightly warmer amid stable high pressure and minimal precipitation. The near-even market odds capture this narrow range of possible outcomes, as small differences in boundary-layer moisture or wind speed can shift the recorded minimum by 1–2°C at official stations. Upcoming hourly observations through the pre-dawn period will provide the decisive data for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 8, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$2,202End Date
Sep 10, 2026Market Opened
Sep 8, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Karachi's September 10, 2026 lowest temperature remains closely divided between the 25°C outcome (45.5% implied probability) and 21°C or below (44.5%), reflecting genuine forecast uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling.**
Official guidance and ensemble models from sources like the Pakistan Meteorological Department and global numerical weather prediction runs show typical September coastal conditions: high humidity (70–85% at night), southwest monsoon flow, and partly cloudy skies limiting clear-sky cooling. This produces forecast minimums clustered around 26–27°C, with some model spreads reaching the mid-20s depending on exact timing of any sea-breeze shift or cloud cover.
Historical September lows in Karachi average near 25–26°C, but recent days have trended slightly warmer amid stable high pressure and minimal precipitation. The near-even market odds capture this narrow range of possible outcomes, as small differences in boundary-layer moisture or wind speed can shift the recorded minimum by 1–2°C at official stations. Upcoming hourly observations through the pre-dawn period will provide the decisive data for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,202End Date
Sep 10, 2026Market Opened
Sep 8, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for Karachi's September 10, 2026 lowest temperature remains closely divided between the 25°C outcome (45.5% implied probability) and 21°C or below (44.5%), reflecting genuine forecast uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling.** Official guidance and ensemble models from sources like the Pakistan Meteorological Department and global numerical weather prediction runs show typical September coastal conditions: high humidity (70–85% at night), southwest monsoon flow, and partly cloudy skies limiting clear-sky cooling. This produces forecast minimums clustered around 26–27°C, with some model spreads reaching the mid-20s depending on exact timing of any sea-breeze shift or cloud cover. Historical September lows in Karachi average near 25–26°C, but recent days have trended slightly warmer amid stable high pressure and minimal precipitation. The near-even market odds capture this narrow range of possible outcomes, as small differences in boundary-layer moisture or wind speed can shift the recorded minimum by 1–2°C at official stations. Upcoming hourly observations through the pre-dawn period will provide the decisive data for resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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