Official forecasts from the Pakistan Meteorological Department and global models such as GFS indicate a daytime maximum of 32°C in Karachi on September 10 under partly cloudy conditions, moderate southwesterly winds around 10-15 km/h, and typical post-monsoon humidity levels near 60-70%. This aligns with historical September averages of 31-34°C and recent observational trends showing stable thermal conditions without significant heat advection or clear-sky amplification. Market-implied odds reflect this strong model consensus and skin-in-the-game assessment of low variability. A realistic shift could occur only from unforecasted dense cloud cover suppressing insolation or an unexpected surge in continental heat, though current data make such deviations improbable before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Karachi on September 10?
Highest temperature in Karachi on September 10?
32°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$20,164 Vol.
$20,164 Vol.
Sep 10, 2026
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C or higher
No
32°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$20,164 Vol.
$20,164 Vol.
Sep 10, 2026
27°C or below
$380 Vol.
No
28°C
$588 Vol.
No
29°C
$356 Vol.
No
30°C
$776 Vol.
No
31°C
$2,466 Vol.
No
32°C
$7,460 Vol.
Yes
33°C
$4,344 Vol.
No
34°C
$1,826 Vol.
No
35°C
$1,171 Vol.
No
36°C
$467 Vol.
No
37°C or higher
$329 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the Pakistan Meteorological Department and global models such as GFS indicate a daytime maximum of 32°C in Karachi on September 10 under partly cloudy conditions, moderate southwesterly winds around 10-15 km/h, and typical post-monsoon humidity levels near 60-70%. This aligns with historical September averages of 31-34°C and recent observational trends showing stable thermal conditions without significant heat advection or clear-sky amplification. Market-implied odds reflect this strong model consensus and skin-in-the-game assessment of low variability. A realistic shift could occur only from unforecasted dense cloud cover suppressing insolation or an unexpected surge in continental heat, though current data make such deviations improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 8, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$20,164End Date
Sep 10, 2026Market Opened
Sep 8, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the Pakistan Meteorological Department and global models such as GFS indicate a daytime maximum of 32°C in Karachi on September 10 under partly cloudy conditions, moderate southwesterly winds around 10-15 km/h, and typical post-monsoon humidity levels near 60-70%. This aligns with historical September averages of 31-34°C and recent observational trends showing stable thermal conditions without significant heat advection or clear-sky amplification. Market-implied odds reflect this strong model consensus and skin-in-the-game assessment of low variability. A realistic shift could occur only from unforecasted dense cloud cover suppressing insolation or an unexpected surge in continental heat, though current data make such deviations improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$20,164End Date
Sep 10, 2026Market Opened
Sep 8, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Official forecasts from the Pakistan Meteorological Department and global models such as GFS indicate a daytime maximum of 32°C in Karachi on September 10 under partly cloudy conditions, moderate southwesterly winds around 10-15 km/h, and typical post-monsoon humidity levels near 60-70%. This aligns with historical September averages of 31-34°C and recent observational trends showing stable thermal conditions without significant heat advection or clear-sky amplification. Market-implied odds reflect this strong model consensus and skin-in-the-game assessment of low variability. A realistic shift could occur only from unforecasted dense cloud cover suppressing insolation or an unexpected surge in continental heat, though current data make such deviations improbable before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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