Recent northerly and northeasterly winds have moderated temperatures in Buenos Aires after early September minima reached 2.4°C on the 6th and 6.7°C on the 7th, with official observations showing a steady rise to 12.6°C on the 9th. Model consensus from sources such as the National Meteorological Service and European ensembles points to a daytime high near 18–19°C on the 10th and an overnight minimum in the 10–13°C range, though steering patterns and increasing easterly flow introduce modest uncertainty around the precise low. This backdrop supports market-implied odds favoring outcomes at or below 6°C as the leading category while assigning roughly equal secondary weight to single-degree bins from 7–11°C, reflecting trader assessment of short-term variability against climatological September norms near 11–12°C. Updated observations through the morning hours and any revised model runs will refine these probabilities ahead of official daily minimum reporting.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Buenos Aires on September 10?
Lowest temperature in Buenos Aires on September 10?
6°C or below 46%
13°C 40%
14°C 40%
10°C 30%
NEW
NEW
Sep 10, 2026
6°C or below
46%
7°C
21%
8°C
21%
9°C
21%
10°C
22%
11°C
22%
12°C
9%
13°C
40%
14°C
40%
15°C
<1%
16°C or higher
<1%
6°C or below 46%
13°C 40%
14°C 40%
10°C 30%
NEW
NEW
Sep 10, 2026
6°C or below
$0 Vol.
46%
7°C
$0 Vol.
21%
8°C
$0 Vol.
21%
9°C
$0 Vol.
21%
10°C
$3 Vol.
22%
11°C
$0 Vol.
22%
12°C
$147 Vol.
9%
13°C
$5 Vol.
40%
14°C
$5 Vol.
40%
15°C
$50 Vol.
<1%
16°C or higher
$50 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent northerly and northeasterly winds have moderated temperatures in Buenos Aires after early September minima reached 2.4°C on the 6th and 6.7°C on the 7th, with official observations showing a steady rise to 12.6°C on the 9th. Model consensus from sources such as the National Meteorological Service and European ensembles points to a daytime high near 18–19°C on the 10th and an overnight minimum in the 10–13°C range, though steering patterns and increasing easterly flow introduce modest uncertainty around the precise low. This backdrop supports market-implied odds favoring outcomes at or below 6°C as the leading category while assigning roughly equal secondary weight to single-degree bins from 7–11°C, reflecting trader assessment of short-term variability against climatological September norms near 11–12°C. Updated observations through the morning hours and any revised model runs will refine these probabilities ahead of official daily minimum reporting.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 8, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Volume
$260End Date
Sep 10, 2026Market Opened
Sep 8, 2026, 8:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent northerly and northeasterly winds have moderated temperatures in Buenos Aires after early September minima reached 2.4°C on the 6th and 6.7°C on the 7th, with official observations showing a steady rise to 12.6°C on the 9th. Model consensus from sources such as the National Meteorological Service and European ensembles points to a daytime high near 18–19°C on the 10th and an overnight minimum in the 10–13°C range, though steering patterns and increasing easterly flow introduce modest uncertainty around the precise low. This backdrop supports market-implied odds favoring outcomes at or below 6°C as the leading category while assigning roughly equal secondary weight to single-degree bins from 7–11°C, reflecting trader assessment of short-term variability against climatological September norms near 11–12°C. Updated observations through the morning hours and any revised model runs will refine these probabilities ahead of official daily minimum reporting.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$260End Date
Sep 10, 2026Market Opened
Sep 8, 2026, 8:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent northerly and northeasterly winds have moderated temperatures in Buenos Aires after early September minima reached 2.4°C on the 6th and 6.7°C on the 7th, with official observations showing a steady rise to 12.6°C on the 9th. Model consensus from sources such as the National Meteorological Service and European ensembles points to a daytime high near 18–19°C on the 10th and an overnight minimum in the 10–13°C range, though steering patterns and increasing easterly flow introduce modest uncertainty around the precise low. This backdrop supports market-implied odds favoring outcomes at or below 6°C as the leading category while assigning roughly equal secondary weight to single-degree bins from 7–11°C, reflecting trader assessment of short-term variability against climatological September norms near 11–12°C. Updated observations through the morning hours and any revised model runs will refine these probabilities ahead of official daily minimum reporting.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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