Traders assign near-certain probability to a Karachi high of 36°C or above on September 12 because multiple forecast models and observational trends show daytime maxima climbing well into the upper 30s Celsius amid typical late-summer conditions. Persistent clear skies, light westerly winds, and high humidity reduce nocturnal cooling while allowing strong daytime insolation to drive temperatures past historical September averages of 33–35°C. Official monitoring indicates minimal cloud cover or monsoon influence today, supporting rapid surface heating. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted surge in cloudiness, localized thunderstorms, or a sharper-than-expected shift in steering winds that caps the peak below the 36°C threshold before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Karachi on September 12?
Highest temperature in Karachi on September 12?
36°C or higher 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$21,019 Vol.
$21,019 Vol.
Sep 12, 2026
26°C or below
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C or higher
Yes
36°C or higher 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$21,019 Vol.
$21,019 Vol.
Sep 12, 2026
26°C or below
$68 Vol.
No
27°C
$142 Vol.
No
28°C
$137 Vol.
No
29°C
$137 Vol.
No
30°C
$384 Vol.
No
31°C
$599 Vol.
No
32°C
$954 Vol.
No
33°C
$2,094 Vol.
No
34°C
$3,977 Vol.
No
35°C
$3,817 Vol.
No
36°C or higher
$8,710 Vol.
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign near-certain probability to a Karachi high of 36°C or above on September 12 because multiple forecast models and observational trends show daytime maxima climbing well into the upper 30s Celsius amid typical late-summer conditions. Persistent clear skies, light westerly winds, and high humidity reduce nocturnal cooling while allowing strong daytime insolation to drive temperatures past historical September averages of 33–35°C. Official monitoring indicates minimal cloud cover or monsoon influence today, supporting rapid surface heating. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted surge in cloudiness, localized thunderstorms, or a sharper-than-expected shift in steering winds that caps the peak below the 36°C threshold before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 10, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
Volume
$21,019End Date
Sep 12, 2026Market Opened
Sep 10, 2026, 12:59 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign near-certain probability to a Karachi high of 36°C or above on September 12 because multiple forecast models and observational trends show daytime maxima climbing well into the upper 30s Celsius amid typical late-summer conditions. Persistent clear skies, light westerly winds, and high humidity reduce nocturnal cooling while allowing strong daytime insolation to drive temperatures past historical September averages of 33–35°C. Official monitoring indicates minimal cloud cover or monsoon influence today, supporting rapid surface heating. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted surge in cloudiness, localized thunderstorms, or a sharper-than-expected shift in steering winds that caps the peak below the 36°C threshold before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$21,019End Date
Sep 12, 2026Market Opened
Sep 10, 2026, 12:59 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Traders assign near-certain probability to a Karachi high of 36°C or above on September 12 because multiple forecast models and observational trends show daytime maxima climbing well into the upper 30s Celsius amid typical late-summer conditions. Persistent clear skies, light westerly winds, and high humidity reduce nocturnal cooling while allowing strong daytime insolation to drive temperatures past historical September averages of 33–35°C. Official monitoring indicates minimal cloud cover or monsoon influence today, supporting rapid surface heating. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted surge in cloudiness, localized thunderstorms, or a sharper-than-expected shift in steering winds that caps the peak below the 36°C threshold before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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